Umbilical and fetal middle cerebral artery Doppler at 35-37 weeks' gestation in the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome

Objective: To investigate the potential value of cerebroplacental ratio (CPR) at 36 weeks' gestation in the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome.

Methods: This was a screening study in 6178 singleton pregnancies at 35-37 weeks' gestation. Umbilical artery (UA) and fetal middle cerebral artery (MCA) pulsatility index (PI) were measured and the values were converted to multiples of the median (MoM) after adjustment from variables in maternal characteristics and medical history that affect the measurements. CPR was calculated by dividing MCA-PI MoM by UA-PI MoM. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine if measuring CPR improved the prediction of adverse perinatal outcome provided by maternal characteristics, medical history and obstetric factors. The detection rate (DR) and false-positive rate (FPR) of screening by CPR were estimated for stillbirth, Cesarean section for fetal distress, umbilical arterial cord blood pH ≤ 7.0, umbilical venous cord blood pH ≤ 7.1, 5-min Apgar score < 7 and admission to the neonatal unit (NNU) and neonatal intensive care unit (NICU).

Results: There was a linear association between CPR and both birth-weight Z-score and arterial or venous umbilical cord blood pH, but the steepness of the regression lines was inversely related to the interval from assessment to delivery. The performance of low CPR < 5(th) percentile in screening for each adverse outcome was poor, with DRs of 6-15% and a FPR of about 6%. In the small subgroup of the population delivering within 2 weeks of assessment, the DRs improved to 14-50%, but with a simultaneous increase in FPR, to about 10%.

Conclusion: The performance of CPR in routine screening for adverse perinatal outcome at 36 weeks' gestation is poor.