Prognostic factors for medium- and long-term survival of esophageal cancer patients in the Netherlands

J Surg Oncol. 2014 Apr;109(5):465-71. doi: 10.1002/jso.23513.

Abstract

Background and objectives: Medium- and long-term survival is low in esophageal cancer (EC) patients, which is thought to be due to tumor characteristics. Our aim was to determine both tumor- and non-tumor-related characteristics affecting survival in these patients.

Methods: Patients with primary EC between 1990 and 2008 in the southern part of the Netherlands were identified. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify determinants of survival.

Results: In total, 703 patients with EC were included for the 1-year, 551 for the 3-year and 436 for the 5-year survival analysis. Poor 1-year survival was independently associated with chemoradiation (compared to surgery), positive lymph nodes (N1-stage) and 1 or ≥2 comorbidities. Adenocarcinoma (EAC) compared to squamous cell carcinoma was significantly associated with a better 1-year survival. Poor 3- and 5-year survival was associated with N1-stage and chemoradiation. Positive prognostic factors for 3- and 5-year survival were neoadjuvant therapy and female gender.

Conclusion: Both tumor-related (negative lymph nodes and EAC histology) and non-tumor-related factors (surgery, neoadjuvant therapy, and female gender) are associated with a better survival of EC. Although it is not clear how histology and gender affect EC survival, knowledge of these factors may be relevant for clinical decision making.

MeSH terms

  • Adenocarcinoma / mortality*
  • Adenocarcinoma / pathology*
  • Adenocarcinoma / therapy
  • Aged
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell / mortality*
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell / pathology*
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell / therapy
  • Cell Differentiation
  • Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic
  • Esophageal Neoplasms / mortality*
  • Esophageal Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Esophageal Neoplasms / therapy
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Lymphatic Metastasis
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Netherlands / epidemiology
  • Prognosis
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors