Under-reporting of infectious gastrointestinal illness in British Columbia, Canada: who is counted in provincial communicable disease statistics?

Epidemiol Infect. 2008 Feb;136(2):248-56. doi: 10.1017/S0950268807008461. Epub 2007 Apr 16.

Abstract

Under-reporting of infectious gastrointestinal illness (IGI) in British Columbia, Canada was calculated using simulation modelling, accounting for the uncertainty and variability of input parameters. Factors affecting under-reporting were assessed during a cross-sectional randomized telephone survey. For every case of IGI reported to the province, a mean of 347 community cases occurred (5th and 95th percentile estimates ranged from 181 to 611 community cases, respectively). Vomiting [odds ratio (OR) 2.15, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-4.49] and antibiotic use in the previous 28 days (OR 3.59, 95% CI 1.17-10.97) significantly predicted health-care visits in a logistic regression model. In bivariate analyses, physicians were significantly less likely to request stool samples from patients with vomiting (RR 0.09, 95% CI 0.01-0.65) and patients of North American as opposed to non-North American cultural groups (RR 0.38, 95% CI 0.15-0.96). Physicians were more likely to request stool samples from older patients (P=0.003), patients with fewer household members (P=0.002) and those who reported anti-diarrhoeal use following illness (RR 3.33, 95% CI 1.32-8.45). People with symptoms of vomiting were under-represented in provincial communicable disease statistics. Differential degrees of under-reporting must be understood before biased surveillance data can be adjusted.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • British Columbia / epidemiology
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Disease Notification / statistics & numerical data*
  • Gastrointestinal Diseases / epidemiology*
  • Health Services Research*
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Interviews as Topic
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Statistical
  • Population Surveillance / methods*