Original Article
Variations in Vital Signs in the Last Days of Life in Patients With Advanced Cancer

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpainsymman.2013.10.019Get rights and content
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Abstract

Context

Few studies have examined variation in vital signs in the last days of life.

Objectives

We determined the variation of vital signs in the final two weeks of life in patients with advanced cancer and examined their association with impending death in three days.

Methods

In this prospective, longitudinal, observational study, we enrolled consecutive patients admitted to two acute palliative care units and documented their vital signs (heart rate, blood pressure, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, and temperature) twice a day serially from admission to death or discharge.

Results

Of 357 patients, 203 (57%) died in hospital. Systolic blood pressure (P < 0.001), diastolic blood pressure (P < 0.001), and oxygen saturation (P < 0.001) decreased significantly in the final three days of life, and temperature increased slightly (P < 0.04). Heart rate (P = 0.22) and respiratory rate (P = 0.24) remained similar in the last three days. Impending death in three days was significantly associated with increased heart rate (odds ratio [OR] = 2; P = 0.01), decreased systolic blood pressure (OR = 2.5; P = 0.004), decreased diastolic blood pressure (OR = 2.3; P = 0.002), and decreased oxygen saturation (OR = 3.7; P = 0.003) from baseline readings on admission. These changes had high specificity (≥80%), low sensitivity (≤35%), and modest positive likelihood ratios (≤5) for impending death within three days. A large proportion of patients had normal vital signs in the last days of life.

Conclusion

Blood pressure and oxygen saturation decreased in the last days of life. Clinicians and families cannot rely on vital sign changes alone to rule in or rule out impending death. Our findings do not support routine vital signs monitoring of patients who are imminently dying.

Key Words

Blood pressure
diagnosis
death
heart rate
oxygen
physiologic phenomena
respiratory rate
temperature
impending death
neoplasms

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