Atopic dermatitis and skin disease
Is eczema really on the increase worldwide?

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Background

It is unclear whether eczema prevalence is truly increasing worldwide.

Objective

We sought to investigate worldwide secular trends in childhood eczema.

Methods

Children (n = 302,159) aged 13 to 14 years in 105 centers from 55 countries and children aged 6 to 7 years (n = 187,943) in 64 centers from 35 countries were surveyed from the same study centers taking part in Phase One and Three of the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood by using identical validated and translated questionnaires. Eczema was defined as an itchy, relapsing, flexural skin rash in the last 12 months, and it was termed severe eczema when it was associated with 1 or more disturbed nights per week.

Results

Annual prevalence changes in relation to average prevalence across Phase One and Three were generally small and differed in direction according to the age of the participants and world region. For children 13 to 14 years old, eczema symptom prevalence decreased in some previously high-prevalence centers from the developed world, such as the United Kingdom and New Zealand, whereas centers with previously high prevalence rates from developing countries continued to increase. In the children 6 to 7 years old, most centers showed an increase in current eczema symptoms. Similar patterns to these were present for severe eczema at both ages.

Conclusion

The epidemic of eczema seems to be leveling or decreasing in some countries with previously high prevalence rates. The picture elsewhere is mixed, with many formerly low-prevalence developing countries experiencing substantial increases, especially in the younger age group.

Section snippets

ISAAC study and centers

The ISAAC collaborative research initiative comprised 3 phases. In Phase One 257,800 children aged 6 to 7 years in 90 centers and 463,801 children aged 13 to 14 years in 155 centers from 56 countries around the world were surveyed by using standardized questionnaires to determine the prevalence of eczema, asthma, and allergic rhinoconjunctivitis symptoms, the results of which are reported elsewhere.3, 21, 22, 23 Phase 2 involved more detailed objective exploration of possible causative factors

Raw data

Overall, Phase Three was completed with a mean of 7 years after Phase One. Mean response rates at centers were 85% for children 6 to 7 years old and 91% for children 13 to 14 years old (range, 64% to 100%). Table E1, Table E2 in the Online Repository (at www.jacionline.org) show the actual prevalence data for ISAAC Phase One and Three for the 13- to 14-year-old and 6- to 7-year-old age groups, respectively. Table E1, Table E2 also show mean changes in prevalence per year for eczema symptoms in

Main findings

This study has shown that for children 13 to 14 years old, symptoms of eczema in the last year have leveled off or decreased in some countries with formerly very high prevalences, such as the United Kingdom and New Zealand,3 providing some reassurance that an allergic disease epidemic is not increasing inexorably throughout the world. A maximum prevalence plateau of around 20% suggests that there might be a finite number of persons susceptible to developing eczema in any population, rather than

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    Study collaborators are listed in full in Appendix E1 in the Online Repository at www.jacionline.org.

    Disclosure of potential conflict of interest: The authors have declared that they have no conflict of interest.

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