Table 1

Association between ‘Mature status’ and failure to progress at ARCP adjusted for a range of potential confounders

Model 1* OR (95% CI)p ValueModel 2* OR (95% CI)p Value
Older (≥29 years) (2610)1.34 (1.22 to 1.49)<0.0011.57 (1.41 to 1.74)<0.001
Younger group (≤28 years) (35 698)1.001.00
Older group (29–31 years) (1414)1.27 (1.11 to 1.46)0.0011.43 (1.24 to 1.65)<0.001
Oldest group (≥32 years) (1196)1.43 (1.24 to 1.65)<0.0011.74 (1.50 to 2.02)<0.001
p Value for trend<0.001<0.001
Female gender (21 470)0.82 (0.77 to 0.87)<0.001
Ethnic minority (11 338)1.59 (1.49 to 1.68)<0.001
Mature friendly university (35 745)1.18 (1.06 to 1.32)0.003
First specialty
 Medicine (10 135)1.00
 ACCS and related (5827)1.00 (0.92 to 1.08)0.93
 Surgery (6077)0.84 (0.77 to 0.91)<0.001
 GP and public health (9094)0.26 (0.24 to 0.29)<0.001
 O and G (1528)2.16 (1.91 to 2.43)<0.001
 Paediatrics (2791)0.81 (0.72 to 0.90)<0.001
 Pathology (564)0.84 (0.67 to 1.06)0.14
 Psychiatry (966)0.51 (0.42 to 0.63)<0.001
 Radiology (1326)0.88 (0.76 to 1.02)0.10
  • *Model 1, simple OR; Model 2 for binary age group after adjustment for all covariates as shown in table except for the three level age group variable. This model was then rerun with the three level age group and other covariates to examine for a dose–response effect.

  • ACCS, acute care common stem; GP, general practitioner; O and G, obstetrics and gynaecology.