Table 3

Accuracy of the algorithm in the training sample by step

StepSensitivity (95% CI)Specificity (95% CI)
Step 1: RA certification by rheumatologist OR ICD9-CM code 714 in HDF OR leflunomide OR tocilizumab OR abatacept OR gold salts82.39 (77.61 to 86.52)96.20 (94.19 to 97.66)
Step 2: Step 1 OR (methotrexate AND antimalarials AND no certification for other autoimmune diseases)85.38 (80.88 to 89.17)95.63 (93.51 to 97.21)
Step 3: Step 2 OR (glucocorticoids ≥3 prescriptions AND antimalarials AND no certification for other autoimmune diseases)91.36 (87.60 to 94.28)92.21 (89.57 to 94.35)
Step 4: Step 3 OR (methotrexate ≥3 prescriptions AND no certification for other autoimmune diseases)*96.35 (93.56 to 98.16)90.30 (87.45 to 92.70)
  • *The final algorithm used in the analysis.

  • ICD9-CM, International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification; HDF, hospital discharge form; RA, rheumatoid arthritis.