Basic model | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | |
Age | 1.14 (1.03 to 1.26) | 1.13 (1.02 to 1.24) | 1.14 (1.03 to 1.26) | 1.12 (1.01 to 1.24) |
Blood pressure | ||||
Normal | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Prehypertension | 1.61 (1.24 to 2.09) | 1.57 (1.21 to 2.04) | 1.61 (1.32 to 2.09) | 1.54 (1.19 to 2.01) |
Stage-1 hypertension | 2.01 (1.52 to 2.66) | 1.93 (1.46 to 2.56) | 2.01 (1.52 to 2.66) | 1.88 (1.42 to 2.50) |
Stage-2 hypertension | 3.15 (2.35 to 4.21) | 3.02 (2.26 to 4.05) | 3.15 (2.36 to 4.22) | 2.90 (2.17 to 3.89) |
Total cholesterol, mg/dL | ||||
<160 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
160–199 | 1.17 (0.80 to 1.72) | 1.26 (0.86 to 1.86) | 1.10 (0.71 to 1.69) | 1.12 (0.76 to 1.65) |
200–239 | 1.45 (0.99 to 2.12) | 1.62 (1.10 to 2.38) | 1.29 (0.79 to 2.10) | 1.31 (0.87 to 2.00) |
240–279 | 1.53 (1.01 to 2.31) | 1.77 (1.16 to 2.68) | 1.36 (0.78 to 2.38) | 1.32 (0.87 to 2.00) |
≥280 | 2.38 (1.48 to 3.82) | 2.78 (1.72 to 4.50) | 2.12 (1.14 to 3.95) | 1.96 (1.21 to 3.18) |
Smoking | ||||
Never | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Former | 1.17 (0.78 to 1.77) | 1.20 (0.79 to 1.80) | 1.17 (0.78 to 1.77) | 1.19 (0.79 to 1.80) |
Current | 2.06 (1.47 to 2.87) | 2.00 (1.43 to 2.79) | 2.06 (1.48 to 2.88) | 1.95 (1.39 to 2.72) |
Diabetes | ||||
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Yes | 1.96 (1.57 to 2.45) | 1.89 (1.51 to 2.37) | 1.96 (1.57 to 2.46) | 1.84 (1.47 to 2.30) |
HDL-cholesterol, mg/dL | ||||
<35 | 1.00 | |||
35–44 | 0.79 (0.52 to 1.19) | |||
45–49 | 0.86 (0.56 to 1.31) | |||
50–59 | 0.66 (0.44 to 1.00) | |||
≥60 | 0.51 (0.33 to 0.78) | |||
LDL-cholesterol, mg/dL | ||||
<100 | 1.00 | |||
100–129 | 1.11 (0.80 to 1.54) | |||
130–149 | 1.16 (0.79 to 1.72) | |||
≥150 | 1.13 (0.74 to 1.74) | |||
Triglyceride, mg/dL | ||||
<100 | 1.00 | |||
100–149 | 1.19 (0.93 to 1.51) | |||
150–199 | 1.61 (1.23 to 2.09) | |||
200–249 | 2.13 (1.58 to 2.89) | |||
≥250 | 1.63 (1.17 to 2.27) | |||
ROC (95% CI) | 0.809 (0.789 to 0.829) | 0.812 (0.792 to 0.833) | 0.809 (0.789 to 0.829) | 0.815 (0.795 to 0.835) |
Continuous NRI (95% CI) | Referent model | 0.177 (0.043 to 0.313) | 0.160 (0.019 to 0.295) | 0.207 (0.087 to 0.336) |
SI conversions: to convert HDL-C and TC to mmol/L, multiply by 0.0259.
CHD, coronary heart disease; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; NRI, net reclassification index; ROC, receiver operating characteristic; TC, total cholesterol.