Basic model | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | |
Age | 1.13 (1.09 to 1.18) | 1.13 (1.08 to 1.18) | 1.13 (1.08 to 1.18) | 1.13 (1.08 to 1.18) |
Blood pressure | ||||
Normal | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Prehypertension | 1.30 (1.16 to 1.46) | 1.29 (1.15 to 1.45) | 1.32 (1.17 to 1.48) | 1.28 (1.14 to 1.43) |
Stage-1 hypertension | 1.74 (1.53 to 1.97) | 1.72 (1.52 to 1.96) | 1.78 (1.57 to 2.02) | 1.68 (1.48 to 1.91) |
Stage-2 hypertension | 2.22 (1.91 to 2.57) | 2.20 (1.90 to 2.56) | 2.28 (1.97 to 2.65) | 2.13 (1.84 to 2.48) |
Total cholesterol, mg/dL | ||||
<160 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
160–199 | 1.26 (1.07 to 1.49) | 1.34 (1.14 to 1.59) | 1.09 (0.90 to 1.32) | 1.21 (1.02 to 1.43) |
200–239 | 1.81 (1.53 to 2.13) | 2.02 (1.71 to 2.38) | 1.23 (0.99 to 1.53) | 1.67 (1.42 to 1.98) |
240–279 | 2.42 (2.01 to 2.92) | 2.77 (2.30 to 3.34) | 1.34 (1.04 to 1.73) | 2.19 (1.81 to 2.65) |
≥280 | 3.79 (2.93 to 4.91) | 4.45 (3.44 to 5.76) | 2.02 (1.47 to 2.77) | 3.37 (2.59 to 4.38) |
Smoking | ||||
Never | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Former | 1.01 (0.88 to 1.16) | 1.02 (0.89 to 1.17) | 1.02 (0.89 to 1.17) | 1.00 (0.87 to 1.15) |
Current | 1.93 (1.72 to 2.17) | 1.86 (1.65 to 2.09) | 1.96 (1.75 to 2.21) | 1.87 (1.66 to 2.11) |
Diabetes | ||||
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Yes | 1.69 (1.51 to 1.89) | 1.63 (1.46 to 1.82) | 1.72 (1.53 to 1.92) | 1.65 (1.48 to 1.85) |
HDL-cholesterol, mg/dL | ||||
<35 | 1.00 | |||
35–44 | 0.66 (0.57 to 0.75) | |||
45–49 | 0.56 (0.48 to 0.65) | |||
50–59 | 0.45 (0.39 to 0.52) | |||
≥60 | 0.34 (0.28 to 0.41) | |||
LDL-cholesterol, mg/dL | ||||
<100 | 1.00 | |||
100–129 | 1.23 (1.06 to 1.43) | |||
130–149 | 1.50 (1.25 to 1.80) | |||
≥150 | 1.97 (1.61 to 2.40) | |||
Triglycerides, mg/dL | ||||
<100 | 1.00 | |||
100–149 | 1.21 (1.07 to 1.37) | |||
150–199 | 1.35 (1.18 to 1.54) | |||
200–249 | 1.39 (1.19 to 1.63) | |||
≥250 | 1.30 (1.11 to 1.52) | |||
ROC (95% CI) | 0.756 (0.745 to 0.766) | 0.764 (0.752 to 0.774) | 0.758 (0.747 to 0.769) | 0.757 (0.746 to 0.768) |
Continuous NRI (95% CI) | Referent model | 0.284 (0.231 to 0.339) | 0.185 (0.124 to 0.246) | 0.109 (0.051 to 0.162) |
SI conversions: to convert HDL-C and TC to mmol/L, multiply by 0.0259.
CHD, coronary heart disease; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; NRI, net reclassification index; ROC, receiver operating characteristic; TC, total cholesterol.