Prediction performance of machine-learning algorithms: 6-month survival
Cancer type | Area under ROC curve (95% CI) | ||
---|---|---|---|
EAR only | ECO only | EAR+ECO | |
Genitourinary | 0.81 (0.77 to 0.85) | 0.82 (0.78 to 0.86) | 0.88 (0.85 to 0.91)*,† |
Colorectal | 0.84 (0.80 to 0.88) | 0.85 (0.81 to 0.89) | 0.88 (0.84 to 0.91)*,† |
Lung | 0.71 (0.67 to 0.76) | 0.73 (0.69 to 0.77)* | 0.77 (0.73 to 0.82)*,† |
Breast | no deaths in the period | ||
Haematological | 0.73 (0.68 to 0.79) | 0.74 (0.69 to 79) | 0.76 (0.71 to 0.81) |
Upper gastrointestinal | 0.74 (0.69 to 0.78) | 0.64 (0.60 to 69) | 0.84 (0.80 to 0.87)† |
Skin | 0.84 (0.77 to 0.90) | 0.85 (0.79 to 91) | 0.91 (0.86 to 0.96)*,† |
Head and neck | 0.66 (0.61 to 0.71) | 0.70 (0.64 to 75) | 0.77 (0.72 to 0.82)*,† |
Gynaecological | 0.97 (0.94 to 0.99) | 0.99 (0.98 to 1)* | 1 (0.99 to 1)* |
CNS | 0.89 (0.85 to 0.94) | 0.84 (0.78 to 0.90) | 0.82 (0.77 to 0.88) |
Unknown primary | 0.92 (0.89 to 0.95) | 0.79 (0.75 to 0.84) | 0.90 (0.87 to 0.93)*,† |
*Significantly greater than EAR only.
†Significantly greater than ECO only.
CNS, central nervous system; EAR, electronic administrative records; ECO, Evaluation of Cancer Outcomes; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.