Table 3

Prediction performance of machine-learning algorithms: 6-month survival

Cancer typeArea under ROC curve (95% CI)
EAR onlyECO onlyEAR+ECO
Genitourinary0.81 (0.77 to 0.85)0.82 (0.78 to 0.86)0.88 (0.85 to 0.91)*,†
Colorectal0.84 (0.80 to 0.88)0.85 (0.81 to 0.89)0.88 (0.84 to 0.91)*,†
Lung0.71 (0.67 to 0.76)0.73 (0.69 to 0.77)*0.77 (0.73 to 0.82)*,†
Breastno deaths in the period
Haematological0.73 (0.68 to 0.79)0.74 (0.69 to 79)0.76 (0.71 to 0.81)
Upper gastrointestinal0.74 (0.69 to 0.78)0.64 (0.60 to 69)0.84 (0.80 to 0.87)†
Skin0.84 (0.77 to 0.90)0.85 (0.79 to 91)0.91 (0.86 to 0.96)*,†
Head and neck0.66 (0.61 to 0.71)0.70 (0.64 to 75)0.77 (0.72 to 0.82)*,†
Gynaecological0.97 (0.94 to 0.99)0.99 (0.98 to 1)*1 (0.99 to 1)*
CNS0.89 (0.85 to 0.94)0.84 (0.78 to 0.90)0.82 (0.77 to 0.88)
Unknown primary0.92 (0.89 to 0.95)0.79 (0.75 to 0.84)0.90 (0.87 to 0.93)*,†
  • *Significantly greater than EAR only.

  • †Significantly greater than ECO only.

  • CNS, central nervous system; EAR, electronic administrative records; ECO, Evaluation of Cancer Outcomes; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.