Table 2

Prevalence of diabetes and the number of people with diabetes estimated for the period 2000 and 2030

	Baseline		5% Obese reduction in 5 years			WHO target to halt obesity prevalence (15% in 10 years)			WHO-EMRO 35% obese reduction in 10 years			5% Obese reduction in 10 years			10% Obese reduction in 10 years
Year	Estimated number		Estimated number		Number	Estimated number		Number	Estimated number		Number	Estimated number		Number	Estimated number		Number
2015	215 042		211 219		3823	210 278		4764	206 673		8369	212 176		2866	211 219		3823
Min–Max	148 627	292 814	146 443	286 159		146 443	286 159		146 443	286 159		146 443	146 443		146 443	286 159
2020	289 103		277 317		11 786	273 902		15 201	261 510		27 593	280 866		8236	277 317		11 786
Min–Max	207 052	398 856	198 010	372 107		198 010	372 107		198 010	372 107		198 010	198 010		198 010	372 107
2025	365 597		342 837		22 760	335 582		30 015	310 687		54 910	350 552		15 045	342 837		22 760
Min–Max	272 271	515 599	251 930	456 947		251 930	456 947		251 930	456 947		251 930	251 930		251 930	456 947
2030	444 296		407 308		36 988	394 879		49 416	354 622		89 674	420 837		23 458	407 308		36 988
Min–Max	342 629	641 053	307 266	541 257		307 266	541 257		307 266	541 257		307 266	307 266		307 266	541 257

	Estimated prevalence		Estimated prevalence		Per centage of reduction	Estimated prevalence		Per centage of reduction	Estimated prevalence		Per centage of reduction	Estimated Prevalence		Per centage of reduction	Estimated Prevalence		Per centage of reduction

2015	18.4		18.1		1.8	18.0		2.2	17.7		3.9	18.2		1.3	18.1		1.8
Min–Max	15.9	20.9	15.7	20.5		15.7	20.5		15.7%	20.5		15.7	20.5		15.7	20.5
2020	20.6		19.8		4.1	19.6		5.3	18.7		9.5	20.1		2.8	19.8		4.1
Min–Max	18.5	23.7	17.7	22.1		17.7	22.1		17.7	22.1		17.7	22.1		17.7	22.1
2025	21.6		20.2		6.2	19.8		8.2	18.3		15.0	20.7		4.1	20.2		6.2
Min–Max	20.1	25.3	18.6	22.5		18.6	22.5		18.6	22.5		18.6	22.5		18.6	22.5
2030	21.5		19.7		8.3	19.1		11.1	17.1		20.2	20.3		5.3	19.7		8.3
Min–Max	20.7	25.8	18.5	21.8		18.5	21.8	2.2	18.5	21.8		18.5	21.8		18.5	21.8