Table 5

Comparison between risk prediction models of risk of 1-year and long-term all-cause mortalities in participants without evidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD)

	Model 1	Model 2	Model 3	Model 4
1-year mortality
Discrimination
IDI		0.185 (0.086–0.284)*	0.118 (0.039–0.197)*	0.210 (0.102–0.318)*	0.092 (0.025–0.160)†
Relative IDI		0.192*	0.122*	0.218*	0.085†
p Value		<0.001*	0.004*	<0.001*	0.007†
C-index	0.758 (0.718–0.797)	0.780 (0.740–0.821)	0.773 (0.733–0.813)	0.782 (0.741–0.822)
p difference		0.019*	0.070*	0.022*	0.178†
Long-term mortality
Discrimination
IDI		0.045 (0.018–0.072)*	0.049 (0.022–0.077)*	0.072 (0.039–0.105)*	0.023 (0.004–0.041)†
Relative IDI		0.039*	0.043*	0.062*	0.019†
p Value		0.001*	<0.001*	<0.001*	0.015†
C-index	0.736 (0.715–0.757)	0.747 (0.726–0.768)	0.744 (0.723–0.765)	0.748 (0.727–0.769)
p difference		0.001*	0.013*	0.001*	0.015†

Model 1: Adjusted for age, sex, alcohol, smoking, diabetes, history of pulmonary disease, history of liver disease, haemoglobin. Model 2: model 1 + quartiles of proANP. Model 3: model 1+ quartiles of NT-proBNP. Model 4: model 1+ quartiles of proANP + quartiles of NT-proBNP.
*Versus model 1.
†Versus model 3.