Parameters included in the mathematical forecasting models
| Predictor | References |
|---|---|
| Vector | |
| Mean developmental delay | 22 |
| Number of bites per night | 21 |
| Probability of a susceptible becoming infected after one single bite from a contagious human | 21 |
| Mortality per day | 21 |
| Density | 21 |
| Length of gonotrophic cycle | 21 |
| Time lag of NDVI influence | 21 |
| Lowest NDVI value to influence behaviour | |
| Humans | |
| Probability of a susceptible human becoming infected after one single infected bite | 21 |
| Probability of becoming susceptible after being resistant | 21, 22 |
| Probability of acquiring contagiousness | 21, 22 |
| Probability of losing contagiousness | 21, 22 |
| Average human life expectancy | 22 |
| Infectivity of quiescent cases relative to full-blown infections | 22 |
| Other | |
| Reporting fraction* | 22 |
*Reporting fraction is the fraction of malaria cases in the population that are reported to public health.
NDVI, normalised difference vegetation index.