Table 3

HR of obtaining voluntary early pension or disability pension in the study period according to baseline information

Risk factorsVoluntary early pension n=904Disability pension n=540
HR95(%) CIHR95(%) CI
Education grade
 Secondary school11
 10 years primary school or0.830.65 to 1.060.920.71 to 1.18
 Basic vocational course
 7–9 years primary school3.192.65 to 3.851.271.02 to 1.57
Vocational status spouse
 Transfer income versus paid work0.550.46 to 0.671.110.85 to 1.45
Marital status
 Living alone versus live in partner0.640.51 to 0.801.541.14 to 2.09
Workers compensation
 Case1.020.84 to 1.231.511.23 to 1.87
Workplace
 nursery home/homecare versus Hospital1.040.88 to 1.231.080.87 to 1.35
Work hours
 Mainly day work11
 mainly evening work1.030.86 to 1.231.291.03 to 1.60
 Mainly night work1.160.92 to 1.461.180.87 to 1.61
 Mixed0.900.74 to 1.110.970.74 to 1.27
Heaviness of care duties
Index* high0.790.62 to 1.010.980.74–1.29
RPE† (range 0–14)
 high ≥80.960.82 to 1.131.231.00 to 1.51
Decision latitude -low1.090.92 to 1.280.900.72 to 1.12
Demand –high (%)1.281.09 to 1.500.920.75 to 1.13
Number of days LBP the last 12 month altogether
 0 days0.980.77 to 1.241.360.93 to 1.26
 1–7 days0.710.56 to 0.891.340.94 to 1.92
 8–30 days0.710.55 to 0.911.350.92 to 1.97
 31–90 days0.580.40 to 0.821.290.81 to 2.05
 More than 90 days0.720.54 to 0.972.271.55 to 3.34
Usual back pain: radiation below knee level0.900.73 to 1.101.180.05 to 1.48
Ever acute LBP in relation to patient handling or other work tasks1.070.89 to 1.271.010.80 to 1.28
More than 30 days of sick leave the last year because of upper limb disorder1.040.72 to 1.502.181.57 to 3.01
More than 30 days of sick leave the last year because of lower limb disorder0.910.63 to 1.311.511.08 to 2.11
Cardiovascular disease1.471.27 to 1.691.140.94 to 1.38
Lung diseases0.880.75 to 1.051.140.93 to 1.39
Skin diseases0.610.49 to 0.751.130.90 to 1.42
Gastro intestinal diseases1.211.00 to 1.471.391.10 to 1.76
Rheumatologic inflammatory diseases1.761.25 to 2.482.421.67 to 3.52
Nervous disorder0.870.62 to 1.241.310.92 to 1.87
Current smoking0.800.69 to 0.931.200.98 to 1.45
BMI
 Severe overweight > 300.870.64 to 1.170.850.57 to 1.26
Physical activity‡ low0.870.74 to 1.020.940.77 to 1.15
  • LBP, low-back pain .

  • *Index based on part of clients needing full care in combination with number of person handlings a day.

  • †Rated perceived exertion 0–14 scale, anchored 1=very very light and 13=very very strenuous.

  • ‡Physical activity low: less than ‘at least one time a week strenuous physical activity’.