Table 2

Deaths from coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke and cancer delayed or averted and percentage of mortality gap closed as a result

	Deaths from CHD, stroke and diet-related cancers	Expected deaths from CHD, stroke and diet-related cancers^*	Mortality gap	Deaths delayed or averted if English diet achieved (95% credible intervals)	% Mortality gap closed (95% credible intervals)
Wales
2009	12 733	11 620	1113	591 (434 to 824)	53 (40 to 74)
2008	13 367	12 122	1245	1493 (1096 to 2088)	120 (88 to 168)
2007	13 569	12 204	1365	591 (540 to 782)	43 (40 to 57)
Total^†	39 669	35 946	3723	3005 (2324 to 4013)	81 (62 to 108)
Scotland
2009	22 765	17 934	4831	1674 (1364 to 2134)	35 (28 to 44)
2008	23 774	18 235	5539	1892 (1546 to 2358)	34 (28 to 43)
2007	24 214	18 865	5349	2746 (2287 to 3376)	51 (43 to 63)
Total^†	70 753	55 034	15 719	6353 (5217 to 7957)	40 (33 to 51)
Northern Ireland
2009	5836	4931	905	727 (593 to 910)	80 (66 to 101)
2008	6142	5429	713	499 (402 to 607)	70 (56 to 85)
2007	6170	5459	711	584 (482 to 707)	82 (68 to 99)
Total^†	18 148	15 819	2329	1890 (1570 to 2310)	81 (67 to 99)

↵* Expected deaths estimated using English age-, gender- and cause-specific mortality rates.
↵† Estimates combine mortality data over 3 years, and use mean dietary data (see table 1).