Table 2

Annual changes in the main causes of under-five deaths of China from 1996 to 2020

Cause of deathTime periodAPC (%)95% CIP valueAAPC95% CIP value
National
Preterm birth/low birth weight1996–2002−0.59(−4.78∼3.79)0.779−7.33*(−8.40∼−6.24)<0.001
2002–2020−9.47*(−10.21∼−8.73)<0.001
Birth asphyxia1996–2001−1.98(−7.10∼3.42)0.441−8.31*(−10.31∼−6.26)<0.001
2001–2018−11.45*(−12.26∼−10.64)<0.001
2018–20204.45(−10.21∼−8.73)0.707
Pneumonia1996–2002−7.55*(−11.70∼−3.20)0.003−10.77*(−13.96∼−7.46)<0.001
2002–2005−22.51(−40.96∼1.71)0.064
2005–2016−6.71*(−8.67∼−4.72)<0.001
2016–2020−16.77*(−23.63∼−9.30)<0.001
Congenital heart disease1996–20016.99*(1.65∼12.61)0.013−3.25*(−4.66∼−1.81)<0.001
2001–2011−3.73*(−5.72∼−1.70)0.001
2011–2020−7.99*(−9.89∼−6.05)<0.001
Accidental asphyxia1996–2020−4.93*(−5.65∼−4.20)<0.001−4.93*(−5.65∼−4.20)<0.001
Urban
Preterm birth/low birth weight1996–20012.30(−6.60∼12.04)0.608−4.47*(−6.35∼−2.54)<0.001
2001–2020−6.17*(−9.89∼−6.05)<0.001
Birth asphyxia1996–2002−2.93(−10.03∼4.74)0.424−8.36*(−10.22∼−6.46)<0.001
2002–2020−10.10*(−11.39∼−8.79)<0.001
Pneumonia1996–2020−6.24*(−7.03∼−5.45)<0.001−6.24*(−7.03∼−5.45)<0.001
Congenital heart disease1996–20014.17(−5.27∼14.56)0.380−6.65*(−8.58∼−4.69)<0.001
2001–2020−9.31*(−10.45∼−8.16)<0.001
Accidental asphyxia1996–2020−1.70*(−3.03∼−0.34)0.017−1.70*(−3.03∼−0.34)0.017
Rural
Preterm birth/low birth weight1996–2008−4.75*(−6.30∼−3.17)<0.001−7.98*(−8.98∼−6.97)<0.001
2008–2020−11.10*(−12.55∼−9.63)<0.001
Birth asphyxia1996–20000.63(−7.08∼8.98)0.870−8.00*(−10.17∼−5.78)<0.001
2000–2018−10.96*(−11.74∼−10.17)<0.001
2018–20203.18(−19.81∼32.76)0.796
Pneumonia1996–2002−7.67*(−12.00∼−3.14)0.003−10.70*(−14.03∼−7.24)<0.001
2002–2005−21.54(−40.93∼4.22)0.088
2005–2016−6.29*(−8.34∼−4.19)<0.001
2016–2020−18.04(−25.07∼−10.34)<0.001
Congenital heart disease1996–199913.93*(0.45∼29.21)0.043−2.10*(−3.89∼−0.28)0.024
1999–2011−1.16(−2.82∼0.53)0.165
2011–2020−8.11*(−10.20∼−5.98)<0.001
Accidental asphyxia1996–2020−4.54*(−5.31∼−3.77)<0.001−4.54*(−5.31∼−3.77)<0.001
  • *Indicates that the index is significantly different from zero at the a=0.05 level.

  • AAPC, average annual percentage rate change; APC, annual percentage rate change.