Cause of death | Time period | APC (%) | 95% CI | P value | AAPC | 95% CI | P value |
National | |||||||
Preterm birth/low birth weight | 1996–2002 | −0.59 | (−4.78∼3.79) | 0.779 | −7.33* | (−8.40∼−6.24) | <0.001 |
2002–2020 | −9.47* | (−10.21∼−8.73) | <0.001 | ||||
Birth asphyxia | 1996–2001 | −1.98 | (−7.10∼3.42) | 0.441 | −8.31* | (−10.31∼−6.26) | <0.001 |
2001–2018 | −11.45* | (−12.26∼−10.64) | <0.001 | ||||
2018–2020 | 4.45 | (−10.21∼−8.73) | 0.707 | ||||
Pneumonia | 1996–2002 | −7.55* | (−11.70∼−3.20) | 0.003 | −10.77* | (−13.96∼−7.46) | <0.001 |
2002–2005 | −22.51 | (−40.96∼1.71) | 0.064 | ||||
2005–2016 | −6.71* | (−8.67∼−4.72) | <0.001 | ||||
2016–2020 | −16.77* | (−23.63∼−9.30) | <0.001 | ||||
Congenital heart disease | 1996–2001 | 6.99* | (1.65∼12.61) | 0.013 | −3.25* | (−4.66∼−1.81) | <0.001 |
2001–2011 | −3.73* | (−5.72∼−1.70) | 0.001 | ||||
2011–2020 | −7.99* | (−9.89∼−6.05) | <0.001 | ||||
Accidental asphyxia | 1996–2020 | −4.93* | (−5.65∼−4.20) | <0.001 | −4.93* | (−5.65∼−4.20) | <0.001 |
Urban | |||||||
Preterm birth/low birth weight | 1996–2001 | 2.30 | (−6.60∼12.04) | 0.608 | −4.47* | (−6.35∼−2.54) | <0.001 |
2001–2020 | −6.17* | (−9.89∼−6.05) | <0.001 | ||||
Birth asphyxia | 1996–2002 | −2.93 | (−10.03∼4.74) | 0.424 | −8.36* | (−10.22∼−6.46) | <0.001 |
2002–2020 | −10.10* | (−11.39∼−8.79) | <0.001 | ||||
Pneumonia | 1996–2020 | −6.24* | (−7.03∼−5.45) | <0.001 | −6.24* | (−7.03∼−5.45) | <0.001 |
Congenital heart disease | 1996–2001 | 4.17 | (−5.27∼14.56) | 0.380 | −6.65* | (−8.58∼−4.69) | <0.001 |
2001–2020 | −9.31* | (−10.45∼−8.16) | <0.001 | ||||
Accidental asphyxia | 1996–2020 | −1.70* | (−3.03∼−0.34) | 0.017 | −1.70* | (−3.03∼−0.34) | 0.017 |
Rural | |||||||
Preterm birth/low birth weight | 1996–2008 | −4.75* | (−6.30∼−3.17) | <0.001 | −7.98* | (−8.98∼−6.97) | <0.001 |
2008–2020 | −11.10* | (−12.55∼−9.63) | <0.001 | ||||
Birth asphyxia | 1996–2000 | 0.63 | (−7.08∼8.98) | 0.870 | −8.00* | (−10.17∼−5.78) | <0.001 |
2000–2018 | −10.96* | (−11.74∼−10.17) | <0.001 | ||||
2018–2020 | 3.18 | (−19.81∼32.76) | 0.796 | ||||
Pneumonia | 1996–2002 | −7.67* | (−12.00∼−3.14) | 0.003 | −10.70* | (−14.03∼−7.24) | <0.001 |
2002–2005 | −21.54 | (−40.93∼4.22) | 0.088 | ||||
2005–2016 | −6.29* | (−8.34∼−4.19) | <0.001 | ||||
2016–2020 | −18.04 | (−25.07∼−10.34) | <0.001 | ||||
Congenital heart disease | 1996–1999 | 13.93* | (0.45∼29.21) | 0.043 | −2.10* | (−3.89∼−0.28) | 0.024 |
1999–2011 | −1.16 | (−2.82∼0.53) | 0.165 | ||||
2011–2020 | −8.11* | (−10.20∼−5.98) | <0.001 | ||||
Accidental asphyxia | 1996–2020 | −4.54* | (−5.31∼−3.77) | <0.001 | −4.54* | (−5.31∼−3.77) | <0.001 |
*Indicates that the index is significantly different from zero at the a=0.05 level.
AAPC, average annual percentage rate change; APC, annual percentage rate change.