Table 2

Classification accuracy of the M6NP and M4 at the 2.5%, 5% and 10% threshold

ThresholdAccuracy measureM6NPM4P value
2.5%Sensitivity97 (94 to 99)91 (88 to 95)<0.01
False positive rate61 (58 to 65)43 (40 to 46)<0.01
Negative predictive value98 (96 to 99)96 (94 to 97)<0.01
Percentage classified as low risk31 (28 to 34)46 (44 to 50)<0.01
5% (used in previous studies)Sensitivity95 (92 to 98)85 (81 to 90)<0.01
False positive rate50 (47 to 54)37 (34 to 40)<0.01
Negative predictive value97 (96 to 99)94 (92 to 96)<0.01
Percentage classified as low risk40 (37 to 42)52 (50 to 55)<0.01
10%Sensitivity91 (87 to 94)80 (75 to 85)<0.01
False positive rate39 (36 to 43)30 (37 to 34)<0.01
Negative predictive value96 (94 to 98)92 (90 to 94)<0.01
Percentage classified as low risk49 (46 to 52)58 (56 to 61)<0.01
  • Reported as percentage (95% CI).