Table 2

The age standardised rates by (ASRs) Nordpred and joinpoint regression

Cancer type
(ICD-10 code)
ModelObserved/fitted ASRsProjected ASRs
2001–20052006–20102011–20152016–20202021–20252026–2030
KS (C46), both male and femaleNordpred*29.625.116.412.310.610.4
Joinpoint†28.429.019.912.37.64.7
KS (C46), maleNordpred*34.132.321.416.414.514.5
Joinpoint†32.134.626.215.79.45.6
KS (C46), femaleNordpred*25.818.611.68.87.87.6
Joinpoint†24.223.614.18.55.13.1
NHL (C83), both male and femaleNordpred*7.68.25.44.03.43.2
Joinpoint†5.18.96.34.53.22.3
NHL (C83), maleNordpred*9.19.55.94.23.33.1
Joinpoint†7.87.06.25.65.04.4
NHL (C83), femaleNordpred*6.36.95.14.03.83.7
Joinpoint†7.09.96.94.02.41.4
Cervical (C53)Nordpred*52.656.060.563.765.866.1
Joinpoint†51.755.158.862.766.871.2
Breast (C50)Nordpred*33.235.237.640.644.148.4
Joinpoint†31.834.337.039.842.946.2
Prostate (C61)Nordpred*41.652.254.252.855.560.5
Joinpoint†42.847.552.858.765.272.5
  • *Observed ASRs and projected ASRs from Nordpred regression model for each 5-year period.

  • †Joinpoint regression model was fitted using annual data from 2001 to 2015 and projected up to 2030. Only fitted and projected ASRs of the first year of each period (2001, 2006, 2011, 2016, 2021, 2026) were presented.

  • ICD, International Statistical Classification of Diseases; KS, Kaposi sarcoma; NHL, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.