Table 3

Performance of ICD-10 (U07.1) among patient subgroups tested for confirmed COVID-19

CharacteristicED visitsInpatientsEntire cohort
Sensitivity (95% CI)PPV
(95% CI)
Sensitivity (95% CI)PPV
(95% CI)
Sensitivity (95% CI)PPV
(95% CI)
Age, years
 ≤1876.55% (73.26% to 79.55%)93.55% (91.20% to 95.30%)82.18% (73.58% to 88.42%)86.36% (77.66% to 92.02%)77.07% (73.87% to 79.99%)92.63% (90.25% to 94.46%)
 19–4079.16% (77.72% to 80.53%)90.80% (89.67% to 91.82%)89.49% (86.93% to 91.60%)89.11% (86.47% to 91.29%)79.07% (77.66% to 80.42%)90.28% (89.17% to 91.29%)
 41–6082.87% (81.59% to 84.08%)93.95% (93.06% to 94.74%)95.18% (93.82% to 96.25%)94.74% (93.28% to 95.90%)83.92% (82.69% to 85.07%)93.92% (93.05% to 94.69%)
 61–8082.27% (80.73% to 83.72%)94.92% (93.92% to 95.76%)95.17% (94.04% to 96.09%)96.09% (94.97% to 96.97%)83.89% (82.49% to 85.21%)94.57% (93.59% to 95.40%)
 >8083.06% (80.67% to 85.21%)95.21% (93.61% to 96.43%)95.56% (94.18% to 96.63%)96.26% (94.74% to 97.35%)86.94% (85.04% to 88.63%)95.20% (93.73% to 96.34%)
Sex
 Male81.22% (80.18% to 82.23%)93.14% (92.39% to 93.81%)94.77% (93.85% to 95.55%)94.56% (93.57% to 95.41%)82.76% (81.78% to 83.69%92.90% (92.18% to 93.56%
 Female81.31% (80.25% to 82.33%)93.56% (92.82% to 94.23%)93.48% (92.34% to 94.45%)94.40% (93.23% to 95.37%)82.19% (81.19% to 83.15%93.27% (92.55% to 93.93%
Ventilation
 YesNANA96.76% (95.00% to 97.92%)94.40% (92.17% to 96.03%)96.76% (95.00% to 97.92%94.40% (92.17% to 96.03%
 NoNANA93.81% (93.05% to 94.50%)94.33% (93.53% to 95.04%)82.29% (81.59% to 82.97%93.13% (92.63% to 93.61%
ICU admission
 YesNANA97.03% (95.71% to 97.95%)94.46% (92.71% to 95.81%)97.03% (95.71% to 97.95%94.46% (92.71% to 95.81%
 NoNANA93.48% (92.67% to 94.20%)94.30% (93.47% to 95.03%)93.48% (92.67% to 94.20%94.30% (93.47% to 95.03%
Patient discharge status
 Alive81.30% (80.56% to 82.02%)93.37% (92.85% to 93.85%)93.67% (92.86% to 94.40%)94.15% (93.31% to 94.89%)82.09% (81.38% to 82.77%)93.07% (92.56% to 93.55%)
 Dead69.23% (50.01% to 83.50%)85.00% (63.96% to 94.76%)96.19% (94.79% to 97.22%)95.71% (94.04% to 96.93%)95.48% (94.01% to 96.61%)95.44% (93.76% to 96.69%)
Academic hospital
 Yes80.06% (78.07% to 81.91%)93.49% (92.07% to 94.67%)95.56% (94.08% to 96.69%)91.99% (90.00% to 93.61%)83.28% (81.52% to 84.90%)92.03% (90.63% to 93.23%)
 No81.30% (80.56% to 82.02%)93.14% (92.57% to 93.66%)93.75% (92.95% to 94.47%)94.73% (93.92% to 95.44%)81.69% (80.93% to 82.42%)93.02% (92.47% to 93.53%)
Season change
 March–May84.60% (82.01% to 86.88%)92.54% (90.40% to 94.24%)95.83% (93.00% to 97.55%)92.42% (88.59% to 95.04%)86.22% (83.82% to 88.32%)92.38% (90.31% to 94.03%)
 June–August75.25% (72.50% to 77.80%)96.09% (94.53% to 97.22%)94.28% (91.41% to 96.23%)96.39% (93.66% to 97.97%)76.73% (74.14% to 79.14%)95.75% (94.23% to 96.89%)
 September–November78.62% (77.16% to 80.00%)95.33% (94.46% to 96.06%)92.50% (90.99% to 93.78%)95.55% (94.12% to 96.65%)80.20% (78.87% to 81.47%)94.82% (93.95% to 95.57%)
 December–February83.15% (82.18% to 84.07%)91.66% (90.90% to 92.36%)94.44% (93.52% to 95.23%)93.97% (92.98% to 94.82%)84.05% (83.13% to 84.92%)91.54% (90.81% to 92.22%)
Symptomatic at test
 Yes80.10% (78.93% to 81.22%)100.00% (99.90% to 100.00%)95.40% (94.26% to 96.32%)100.00% (99.74% to 100.00%)80.95% (79.82% to 82.03%)100.00% (99.90% to 100.00%)
 No80.12% (78.03% to 82.06%)100.00% (99.68% to 100.00%)92.52 (90.39% to 94.21%)100.00 (99.36% to 100.00%)81.57% (79.64% to 83.36%)100.00% (99.97% to 100.00%)
 Unknown75.02% (72.81% to 77.10%)100.00% (99.68% to 100.00%)91.68% (89.68% to 93.32%)100.00% (99.40% to 100.00%)77.80% (75.83% to 79.65%)100.00% (99.72% to 100.00%)
 Missing86.23% (85.01% to 87.37%)80.30% (78.95% to 81.58%)94.52% (93.28% to 95.54%)83.65% (81.68% to 85.44%)86.97% (85.84% to 88.03%)79.72% (78.42% to 80.96%)
  • ED, emergency department; ICD-10, International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision; ICU, intensive care unit; PPV, positive predictive value.