Table 4

Results summary (created by the authors)

Type of health-related expenditureHealth outcome elasticitySpending gap
per capita between
Deaths attributable to spending gap
(=annual deaths*elasticity*gap)
Deaths attributable to spending gap from time trend analysis7
Backward
selection
Forward
selection
2001/2002– 2009/2010 and
2010/2011–2014/2015
Backward
selection
Forward
selection
Column 1Column 2Column 3Column 4Column 5Column 6
Social care expenditure−0.336−0.47115.08%23 66233 170n/a
(95%CI)(−0.031 to −0.640)(0.003 to −0.945)(2183 to 45 071)(−211 to 66 550)
Healthcare expenditure−0.532−0.69313.64%33 88844 143n/a
(95%CI)(−0.014 to −1.050)(−0.027 to −1.359)(892 to 66 884)(1720 to 86 567)
Total social care and healthcaren/an/an/a57 55077 31345 368
(95%CI)(3075 to 111 955)(1509 to 153 117)(34 530 to 56 206)