Table 2

Projected excess infant deaths with 95% CIs, by World Bank country income groups and regions

	Estimate	95% CI	Countries
Total	267 208	112 000 to 422 415	128
By income group
Low-income economies	65 628	18 013 to 113 241	29
Lower-middle-income economies	158 638	86 646 to 230 628	46
Upper-middle-income economies	42 942	7340 to 78 544	53
By region
Sub-Saharan Africa	82 239	29 198 to 135 280	48
East Asia and Pacific	32 537	12 899 to 52 174	19
Europe and Central Asia	7962	2372 to 13 553	20
Latin America and the Caribbean	17 202	3628 to 30 776	23
Middle East and North Africa	14 127	4067 to 24 187	10
South Asia	113 141	59 836 to 166 446	8

The definitions of income groups and regions are based on the World Bank country group categorisation for the 2021 fiscal year.
Source: authors’ projections based on estimated parameters presented in table 1 and data from International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook and World Population Prospects.