Table 3

Change in life expectancy, healthy life expectance and disability-free life expectancy across all studies where reported*

StudyCountryAgeTrend periodChange in LEChange in HLEChange in DFLE
All high-income countries combined from the Global Burden of Disease studies
GBD study 2016All high income02005, 2015Men: 1.75
Women: 1.33
Men: 1.43
Women: 1.08
GBD study 2017All high income01990, 2016Men: 5.63
Women: 4.14
Men: 4.43
Women:3.21
65Men: 3.51
Women: 3.03
Men: 2.27
Women: 2.6
GBD study 2018All high income01990, 2017Men: 5.6
Women: 4.2
Men: 4.2
Women: 3.0
Studies with samples from Europe
Jagger et al7England651991, 2011Men: 4.5
Women: 3.6
Men: 3.8 (3.5–4.1)
Women: 3.1 (2.7–3.4)
Men: 2.6 (2.3–2.9)
Women: 0.5 (0.2–0.9)
Kingston et al8England651991, 2011Men: 4.7
Women: 4.1
Men: 1.7 (1.2–2.1)
Women: 0.2 (−0.4 to 0.7)
Reus-Pons et al17England and Wales502001, 2011Men: 2.8
Women: 2.2
Men: 0.25
Women: −0.15
ONS15UK02009/2011–2015/2017Men: 0.8
Women: 0.4
Men: 0.4
Women: −0.2
Bronnum-Hansen et al21Denmark652006/2007, 2010/2011, 2013/2014Difference in change in LE between high and low education:
Men: 0.1
Women: 0.3
Difference in change in DFLE between high and low education
Men: −0.3
Women: −0.3
Deeg et al 24Netherlands651993, 1996, 1999, 2002, 2006, 2009, 2012, 2016Men: 4.0
Women: 2.2
Physical
Men: −2.2
Women: −1.5
Gheorghe et al25Netherlands252001, 2011Men:
High: 2.88
Med: 3.22
Low: 2.43
Women:
High: 1.78
Med: 1.53
Low: 1.15
Men:
High 2.85
Med: 3.01
Low: 2.13
Women:
High: 2.64
Med: 1.57
Low: 1.80
65Men:
High: 2.48
Med: 2.24
Low: 1.68
Women:
High: 1.64
Med: 1.41
Low: 1.12
Men:
High: 2.17
Med: 1.91
Low: 1.37
Women:
High: 1.74
Med: 1.21
Low: 1.14
Reus-Pons et al 17Netherlands502001, 2011Men: 2.82
Women: 1.84
Men: 2.21
Women: 1.25
Remund et al 31Switzerland301990/1994, 1995/1999, 2004/2004, 2010/2014Men: 5.02
Women: 3.09
Men: 4.52
Women: 3.09
Storeng et al 26Norway501984/1986, 1995/1997, 2006/2008Men: 6.99 (5.27–8.72)
Women: 6.75 (5.16–8.34)
Men: 6.90 (6.08–7.73)
Women: 5.40 (4.56–6.25)
Men: 2.71 (2.01–3.42)
Women: 0.33 (–0.40 to 1.06)
Sundberg et al 30Sweden (SWEOLD)771992, 2002, 2004, 2011
2004, 2011
Men: 1.7
Women: 1.1
Men: 1.1
Women: 1.6
Sweden (SHARE)Men: 0.6
Women: 0.4
Men: 0.1
Women: 1.3
Yokota et al 29Belgium152001, 2004, 2008Men: 1.6
Women: 1.0
Men: 0.7
Women: −0.7
Studies with samples from Asia
Jo et al 27R. Korea02005, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013Men: 3.38
Women: 3.15
Men: 4.03
Women: 3.44
Lee et al 28R. Korea02005, 2008, 2011Men: 2.5
Women: 2.6
Men: 1.4
Women: 1.2
65Men: 1.6
Women: 2.0
Men: 2.2
Women: 2.6
85Men: 0.3
Women: 0.7
Men: 1.4
Women: 1.4
Sugawara et al 22Japan02000, 2010Men: 1.9
Women: 1.7
Men: 1.0
Women: 0.4
Tokudome et al23Japan01990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2013Men: 4.01
Women: 4.43
Men: 3.02
Women: 3.32
Studies with sample from North America
Crimmins et al33USA01970, 1980, 1990, 2000, 2010Men: 9.2
Women: 6.4
Men: 4.5
Women: 2.7
20–64Men: 1.8
Women: 0.9
Men: 0.9
Women: −0.6
65Men: 4.7
Women: 3.5
Men: 2.7
Women: 2.4
85Men: 1.1
Women: 1.3
Men: 0.5
Women: 0.8
  • *Table and comparison does not include studies where: the metric of change was not comparable for each health expectancy (Steensma et al20); trends were reported as slope of index inequality only (ONS19); only forecasts are reported (Kingston et al14, Guzman-Castillo et al13, Cao et al32); total life expectancy is reported only as a graph (Lagergren et al29, Freedman and Spillman34, Freedman et al35); trends are reported as difference in change in DFLE between levels of education and not comparable to the LE trend (Renard et al18).

  • DFLE, Disability-free life expectancy; GBD, Global Burden of Disease; HLE, Healthy life expectancy; LE, Life expectancy.