Table 2

ORs and adjusted ORs of the association between e-cigarette use and subsequent combustible cigarette use for: (1) never-smokers at baseline, (2) non-smokers* (never or no current use) at baseline and (3) former smokers at baseline

Authors/yearCountryBaseline cigarette useE-cigarette useFollow-up cigarette useOR (95% CI)Adjusted OR (95% CI)
Initiation in never smokers at baseline
Berry et al26USANeverEverEver4.09 (2.97 to 5.63)
Chien et al27TaiwanNeverEverEver2.44 (1.94 to 3.09)2.14 (1.66 to 2.75)
Conner et al47UK (England)NeverEverEver4.03 (3.33 to 4.88)2.78 (2.20 to 3.51)
McMillen et al50USANeverCurrent†Ever16.4 (9.8 to 27.5)6.6 (3.7 to 11.8)
Pénzes et al46RomaniaNeverEverEver2.75 (1.52 to 4.96)3.57 (1.96 to 6.49)
Current use in non-smokers at baseline
Aleyan et al28CanadaNon-smokers*Current†Current†Wave 1–2: 1.54 (1.37 to 1.74)
Wave 2–3: 1.18 (1.08 to 1.29)
Barrington-Trimis et al48USANeverCurrent†Current†NHW to dual use: 7.44 (3.63 to 15.3)
HW to dual use: 3.64 (1.62 to 8.18)
Bold et al45USANo current*Current†Current†Wave 1–2: 7.08 (2.34 to 21.42)
Wave 2–3: 3.87 (1.86 to 8.06)
Conner et al47UK (England)NeverEverCurrent†3.38 (2.72 to 4.21)2.17 (1.76 to 2.69)
Regular‡3.60 (2.35 to 5.51)1.27 (1.17 to 1.39)
Kinnunen et al29FinlandNeverEver nicotine-containingDaily11.52 (4.91 to 27.01)8.50 (2.14 to 29.19) With school clustering: 2.92 (1.09 to 7.85)
Ever non-nicotine containing1.88 (0.25 to 14.45)2.50 (0.25 to 12.05) With school clustering: 0.94 (0.22 to 4.08)
McMillen et al50USANeverEver (not current)Established§5.9 (1.7 to 20.7)2.5 (0.6 to 10.9)
Current†25.5 (10.6 to 61.4)8.0 (2.8 to 22.7)
Osibogun et al49USANon-smokers*Current†Regular‡Year 1: 16.4 (7.8 to 34.5)Year 1: 5.0 (1.9 to 12.8)
Year 2: 11.1 (3.5 to 35.2)Year 2: 3.4 (1.0 to 11.5)
Relapse in former smokers at baseline
Brose et al30UK≥2-month ex-smokersEverEver1.52 (0.88 to 2.62)1.13 (0.61 to 2.07)
Non-daily3.32 (1.23 to 8.96)2.45 (0.85 to 7.08)
Dai and Leventhal51USA>12-month ex-smokersCurrent†Ever6.36 (4.49 to 9.00)2.00 (1.25 to 3.20)
Occasional5.79 (1.50 to 22.33)1.56 (0.34 to 7.14)
Prior9.68 (4.74 to 19.75)3.77 (1.48 to 9.65)
McMillen et al50USA≥5 years ex-smokersEver (not current†)Ever5.4 (2.9 to 10.2)3.3 (1.6 to 6.7)
Current†7.6 (3.0 to 19.4)5.2 (1.6 to 16.3)
  • *Non-smokers defined as never or no current (past 30-day) use.

  • †Current defined as past 30-day use.

  • ‡Regular defined as ≥20 days/30 days.

  • §Established defined as ≥100 combustible cigarettes and currently smokes every day or some.

  • HW, Hispanic white; NHW, non-Hispanic white.