Table 5

Sensitivity and specificity for each cut-point of PAGE

Cut-point for admission decisionSensitivity (95% CI)Specificity (95% CI)Likelihood ratio+Likelihood ratio−Positive predictive valueNegative predictive value
≥0100%0%1.0000
≥196.83 (96.38 to 97.23)15.80 (15.22 to 16.41)1.15010.201034.8 (34.2 to 35.4)91.5 (91.1 to 91.9)
≥291.13 (90.42 to 91.79)36.34 (35.56 to 37.13)1.43150.244139.9 (39.3 to 40.6)89.8 (89.4 to 90.2)
≥387.70 (86.89 to 88.46)45.84 (45.03 to 46.65)1.61920.268442.9 (42.3 to 43.6)88.9 (88.5 to 89.3)
≥478.87 (77.90 to 79.81)61.03 (62.23 to 63.82)2.13300.335348.5 (47.8 to 49.1)85.7 (85.2 to 86.2)
≥568.61 (67.49 to 69.70)73.69 (72.97 to 74.40)2.60740.426154.8 (54.1 to 55.4)83.5 (83.0 to 84.0)
≥659.47 (58.29 to 60.64)80.86 (80.21 to 81.49)3.10700.501259.1 (58.4 to 59.7)81.1 (80.6 to 81.7)
≥748.56 (47.37 to 49.76)87.89 (87.03 to 88.11)3.90990.587364.5 (63.8 to 65.1)78.6 (78.0 to 79.1)
≥838.88 (37.73 to 40.06)92.20 (91.75 to 92.62)4.98190.662969.8 (69.2 to 70.4)76.5 (75.9 to 77.0)
≥929.84 (28.76 to 30.94)95.34 (94.99 to 95.68)6.40890.735974.8 (74.3 to 75.4)74.5 (74.0 to 75.1)
≥1022.11 (21.14 to 23.12)97.43 (97.16 to 97.68)8.60530.799480.0 (79.4 to 80.5)72.9 (72.3 to 73.5)
≥1116.36 (15.49 to 17.26)98.56 (98.35 to 98.75)11.37330.848684.1 (83.6 to 84.6)71.7 (71.1 to 72.3)
≥1212.03 (11.27 to 12.83)99.28 (99.12 to 99.41)16.64410.886188.5 (88.1 to 89.0)70.9 (70.3 to 71.5)
≥138.33 (7.69 to 9.01)99.60 (99.48 to 99.69)20.70210.920490.6 (90.2 to 91.0)70.1 (69.5 to 70.7)
≥145.49 (4.97 to 6.07)99.79 (99.70 to 99.85)25.98920.947192.4 (92.0 to 92.7)69.5 (68.9 to 70.1)
≥153.25 (2.84 to 3.70)99.85 (99.77 to 99.90)21.63980.969091.0 (90.6 to 91.3)69.0 (68.4 to 69.6)
≥162.14 (1.82 to 2.52)99.90 (99.83 to 99.94)20.96740.979690.7 (90.3 to 91.1)68.7 (68.1 to 69.4)
≥171.12 (0.89 to 1.40)99.97 (99.92 to 99.99)32.74360.986793.8 (93.5 to 94.2)68.5 (67.9 to 69.2)
≥180.65 (0.48 to 0.88)100 (99.97 to 100)0.9935100.0 (100.0 to 100.0)68.4 (67.8 to 69.1)
≥190.34 (0.22 to 0.52)100 (99.97 to 100)0.9966100.0 (100.0 to 100.0)68.4 (67.8 to 69.0)
≥200.12 (0.06 to 0.24)100 (99.97 to 100)0.9988100.0 (100.0 to 100.0)68.3 (67.7 to 68.9)
≥210.04 (0.01 to 0.14)100 (99.97 to 100)0.9996100.0 (100.0 to 100.0)68.3 (67.7 to 68.9)
≥220.02 (0.00 to 0.10)100 (99.97 to 100)0.9996100.0 (100.0 to 100.0)68.3 (67.7 to 68.9)
≥2301001.0000100.0 (100.0 to 100.0)68.3 (67.7 to 68.9)
  • PAGE, Paediatric Admission Guidance in the Emergency Department.