Table 1

Definition of index and reference standard tests

Reference standard testsDefinition
ABRSBacterial culture (any method) of fluid from antral puncture.
Bacterial culture (any method) of endoscopically guided middle meatal aspiration.
Bacterial culture (any method) of endoscopically guided middle meatal swabs.
CT-confirmed ARSPresence of fluid level or total opacification in any sinus on CT scan.
Reference standard testsDefinitionAnticipated probability of outcome risk
Preceding URTIHistory of preceding URTI as reported by patients or based on medical record.Increase25
Previous diagnosis of ARSHistory of previous ARS episode as reported by patients or based on medical record.Decrease25
Maxillary painPain (any, unilateral or bilateral) in maxillary sinus region as reported by patients.Increase25
Pain in teethPain in teeth as reported by patients.Increase4 25
AnosmiaLoss of smell as reported by patients.Increase25
CacosmiaSensation of bad smell as reported by patients.Increase4
Double sickeningWorsening of symptoms after initial improvement of symptoms (‘two phases in the illness history’) as reported by patients or clinicians.Increase4
Clinical impressionOverall clinical impression of illness as reported by the clinician.Increase4
Purulent nasal discharge on examinationThe presence of purulent nasal discharge on rhinoscopia anterior or endoscopy.Increase4 25
CRPCRP levels from blood samples collected by vena puncture (laboratory analysis) or fingerprick (using validated POCT devices).Increase25
ESRESR levels from blood samples collected by vena puncture (laboratory analysis) or fingerprick (using validated POCT devices).Increase20
Duration of illness (>10 days)Symptom duration of more than 10 days as reported by patients.Unknown*
Fever (>38°C)Presence of fever (body temperature above 38°C) as reported by patients or measured by clinician.Unknown*
Severe painPain score >8/10 or equivalent scores using other pain rating scales as reported by patients.Unknown*
  • *Candidate predictor selection based on clinical reasoning.

  • ABRS, acute bacterial rhinosinusitis; ARS, acute rhinosinusitis; CRP, C reactive protein; CT, computed tomography; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate; POCT, point-of-care test; URTI, upper respiratory tract infection.