Table 3

Summary of risk factors using GRADE

Risk factorn (primary studies) Type of primary studiesGRADEAbsolute effect
OR (95% CI)
I2 (%)
VascularAtrial fibrillation10 41 421394 (5‡)
L (+2)
⨁⨁⨁◯ Moderate
Due to the magnitude of effect
3.01 (1.96 to 4.61)*†0
2425 (7‡)
L (+2)
⨁⨁⨁◯ Moderate
Due to magnitude of effect
2.4 (1.7 to 3.5)*10
3647 (13)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low
Due to magnitude of effect and inconsistency
2.0 (1.4 to 2.8)*55
Diabetes424809 (19)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low1.4 (1.2 to 1.7) *10
Hypertension424800 (19)
L (+2)
⨁◯◯◯ Very low
Due to imprecision
1.1 (0.9 to 1.3)0
Smoking424163 (16)
L (+2)
◯◯◯◯ Critically low
Due to imprecision and inconsistency
1.0 (0.8 to 1.2)54
Moderate alcohol consumption422822 (9)
L (+2)
⨁◯◯◯ Very low
Due to imprecision
0.8 (0.6 to 1.0)45
Ischaemic heart disease423739 (14)
L (+2)
⨁◯◯◯ Very low
Due to imprecision
1.0 (0.8 to 1.3)46
Previous TIA423411 (11)
L (+2)
⨁◯◯◯ Very low
Due to imprecision
1.0 (0.8 to 1)27
DemographicFemale sex425707 (24)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low1.3 (1.1 to 1.6) *49
White421245 (3)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low0.6 (0.4 to 0.8)*1
Low education422787 (11)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low2.5 (1.8 to 3.4) *56
Stroke relatedHaemorrhagic stroke421252 (9)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low1.4 (1.1 to 1.9)*2
Dysphasia422223 (7)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low
Due to inconsistency and magnitude of effect
3.6 (2.1 to 6.1)*71
Left hemisphere stroke424599 (17)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low1.4 (1.1 to 1.7)*48
Brainstem stroke423042 (9)
L (+2)
◯◯◯◯ Critically low
Due to imprecision and inconsistency
0.7 (0.4 to 1.2)75
Lacunar stroke422895 (10)
L (+2)
⨁◯◯◯ Very low
Due to imprecision
0.8 (0.7 to 1.0)0
Previous stroke422766 (10)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low1.9 (1.5 to 2.3)*0
Multiple strokes422730 (9)
L (+2)
⨁⨁⨁◯ Moderate
Due to magnitude of effect
2.5 (1.9 to 3.1)*16
Recurrent stroke42947 (4)
L (+2)
⨁⨁⨁◯ Moderate
Due to magnitude of effect
2.3 (1.5 to 3.5)*14
Silent strokes42775 (5)
L (+2)
◯◯◯◯ Critically low
Due to imprecision and inconsistency
1.8 (0.9 to 3.5)63
Stroke complicationsHypoxic ischaemic episode42169 (2)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low
Due to publication bias and magnitude of effect
2.4 (1.4 to 4.2)*0
Incontinence422291 (7)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low
Due to inconsistency and magnitude of effect
6.4 (4.5 to 9.2)*52
Acute confusion42339 (2)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low
Due to publication bias and magnitude of effect
2.8 (1.5 to 5.3)*0
Early seizures42169 (1)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low
Due to publication bias and magnitude of effect
5.4 (2.4 to 12.1)*NA
Abnormal EEG42180 (1)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low
Due to publication bias and magnitude of effect
2.7 (1.4 to 4.9)*NA
Brain imagingLeukoaraiosis421300 (7)
L (+2)
⨁⨁⨁◯ Moderate
Due to magnitude of effect
2.5 (1.9 to 3.4)*37
Atrophy42998 (5)
L (+2)
⨁◯◯◯Very low
Due to inconsistency
2.6 (1.1 to 6.3)*80
MTLA42481 (2)
L (+2)
⨁⨁◯◯ Low
Due to publication bias and magnitude of effect
2.7 (1.8 to 4.2)*0
  • Our certainty level of each outcome is presented using GRADE.24

  • *Statistically significant.

  • †Relative risk.

  • ‡Subset.

  • EEG, electroencephalogram; GRADE, Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations; L, longitudinal observational study; MTLA, medial temporal lobe atrophy; NA, not available; TIA, transient ischaemic attack.