Table 1

Number and estimated incidence of drowning deaths over a 2 year recall period from eight Tanzanian lakeside communities

Total drowning deathsDeaths among fishermenDeaths among children
(≤16 y)
2012 census population estimateCensus-derived 2016 population estimate*†Person-time at risk (years)‡Incidence per 100 000 person-years
Island communities
 Ghana1310 (77%)1 (8%)300033776753192
 Kasenyi119 (82%)1 (9%)443649939986110
 Chakazimbwe65 (83%)1 (17%)150016883377178
 Bezi Kisiwani22 (100%)0 (0%)18892126425247
 Chifule Ukara118 (73%)2 (18%)125314102821390
Mainland communities
 Kijiweni2826 (93%)1 (4%)992111722331253
 Kayenze52 (40%)1 (20%)28003151630379
 Ruhanga108 (80%)2 (20%)170019133827261
All communities
 Overall8670 (81%)9 (10%)17 57019 77539 550217
  • *Assuming 3% annual population growth between 2012 and 2016.

  • †Community-derived 2016 population estimates were as follows: Ghana = 3500; Kasenyi = 3225; Chakazimbwe = 2000; Bezi Kisiwani = 2600; Chifule Ukara = 2000; Kijiweni = 2645; Kayenze = 3551; Ruhanga = 2000; Total = 21 521.

  • ‡ Calculated as the 2012 census population estimate with a 3% population growth factor applied for 4 years (to 2016), multiplied by the 2-year recall period, and rounded to the nearest whole number.