Table 2

Association of CYP MH spend per person aged 0–18 with explanatory factors (detailed physical care model)

Detailed spendSA 3 – QOF prevalence
Ratio of means (SE) (95% CI)Ratio of means (SE) (95% CI)
Children entering youth justice per 1000 aged 0–181.03 (0.03) (0.97 to 1.09)1.04 (0.03) (0.99 to 1.10)
Children in need (family stress), rate per 100 aged 0–181.07 (0.05) (0.98 to 1.18)1.07 (0.05) (0.97 to 1.17)
Obese children (reception year)0.95 (0.06) (0.84 to 1.07)0.96 (0.06) (0.85 to 1.08)
Children with excess weight (reception year)1.04 (0.04) (0.97 to 1.12)1.04 (0.04) (0.98 to 1.12)
Children in care per 1000 aged 0–181.03 (0.02) (1.00 to 1.07)1.02 (0.02) (0.99 to 1.06)
Spend on MH per person over 18 (excl. CYP, £10)1.01 (0.01) (1.00 to 1.02)1.01 (0.01) (1.00 to 1.02)
Spend on circulatory disease per person: coronary heart disease1.01 (0.01) (0.98 to 1.03)
Spend on circulatory disease per person: other0.98** (0.01) (0.97 to 0.99)
Spend on respiratory disease per person: obstructive conditions1.01 (0.02) (0.98 to 1.04)
Spend on cancer per person: bowel cancer1.02 (0.04) (0.95 to 1.10)
Spend on maternity per person1.18 (0.10) (0.99 to 1.40)
Percentage of black and minority ethnic0.99* (0.00) (0.98 to 1.00)0.99 (0.01) (0.98 to 1.01)
Overcrowding1.01 (0.01) (0.99 to 1.03)1.01 (0.01) (0.99 to 1.02)
Long-term unemployment1.02 (0.02) (0.99 to 1.05)1.03 (0.02) (1.00 to 1.06)
Cancer prevalence—18+, QOF0.93 (0.09) (0.77 to 1.13)
Diabetes prevalence—18+, QOF0.94 (0.03) (0.86 to 1.03)
COPD prevalence, QOF0.98 (0.09) (0.82 to 1.18)
Observations199199
Akaike information criterion (AIC)19421939
Bayesian information criterion (BIC)19911981
Pseudo R-squared0.320.29
  • **P<0.05, **P<0.01, ***P<0.001.

  • COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CYP MH, child and young person mental health; QOF, Quality and Outcome Frameworks; SA, sensitivity analysis.