Sensitivity analysis, £ million
Variable | Financial | Loss of well-being | Total |
Base case | 1716.5 | 2545.7 | 4262.2 |
Prevalence (20.2%) | |||
Lower (17.0%) | 1333.3 | 2110.6 | 3443.9 |
Upper (23.3%) | 2141.1 | 2993.6 | 5134.7 |
Risk for mortality (OR=1.77) | |||
Upper (OR=2.15) | 1716.8 | 2757.9 | 4474.8 |
Lower (OR=1.39) | 1716.2 | 2316.7 | 4032.9 |
Risk for dementia (OR for >65 = 5.88, OR for >85 = 7.56) | |||
Upper (OR for >65 = 20.70, OR for >85 = 29.43) | 2191.0 | 3678.2 | 5869.2 |
Lower (OR for >65 = 1.69, OR for >85 = 1.96) | 1213.0 | 1372.8 | 2585.8 |
Risk for admission to aged care (OR=2.41) | |||
Upper (OR=3.29) | 1993.3 | 2545.7 | 4539.0 |
Lower (OR=1.77) | 1453.8 | 2545.7 | 3999.6 |
Average hospital costs* | |||
Upper (+25%) | 1794.7 | 2545.7 | 4340.4 |
Lower (−25%) | 1638.4 | 2545.7 | 4184.1 |
Discount rate for DALYs (3%) | |||
Upper (7%) | 1716.5 | 2488.6 | 4205.1 |
Lower (0%) | 1716.5 | 2596.3 | 4312.9 |
*Hospital costs were varied for delirium only, not dementia.