Table 4

Sensitivity analysis, £ million

VariableFinancialLoss of well-beingTotal
Base case1716.52545.74262.2
Prevalence (20.2%)
Lower (17.0%)1333.32110.63443.9
Upper (23.3%)2141.12993.65134.7
Risk for mortality (OR=1.77)
Upper (OR=2.15)1716.82757.94474.8
Lower (OR=1.39)1716.22316.74032.9
Risk for dementia (OR for >65 = 5.88, OR for >85 = 7.56)
Upper (OR for >65 = 20.70, OR for >85 = 29.43)2191.03678.25869.2
Lower (OR for >65 = 1.69, OR for >85 = 1.96)1213.01372.82585.8
Risk for admission to aged care (OR=2.41)
Upper (OR=3.29)1993.32545.74539.0
Lower (OR=1.77)1453.82545.73999.6
Average hospital costs*
Upper (+25%)1794.72545.74340.4
Lower (−25%)1638.42545.74184.1
Discount rate for DALYs (3%)
Upper (7%)1716.52488.64205.1
Lower (0%)1716.52596.34312.9
  • *Hospital costs were varied for delirium only, not dementia.