Model | Parameter estimate | SE (Hessian derived) | Lower CI (including Monte Carlo Standard Error (MCSE)) | Upper CI (including MCSE) | χ2 | P value | |
Auto-logistic model 1 (equation 2) Maximum Likelihood (ML): 107.835 | (Intercept) | 0.984 | 0.409 | 0.180 | 1.788 | 5.679 | 0.017 |
(Number of neighbours) | −0.105 | 0.062 | −0.227 | 0.017 | 2.862 | 0.091 | |
γ | 0.965 | 0.365 | 0.248 | 1.682 | 7.051 | 0.008 | |
Auto-logistic model 2 (equation 2) ML: 108.702 | α(Intercept) | 0.933 | 0.509 | −0.064 | 1.930 | 3.362 | 0.067 |
(1=Year 2) | −0.132 | 0.385 | −0.886 | 0.622 | 0.118 | 0.732 | |
(1=West) | 0.295 | 0.375 | −0.440 | 1.030 | 0.618 | 0.432 | |
(1=female) | 0.103 | 0.402 | −0.685 | 0.891 | 0.066 | 0.798 | |
(Number of neighbours) | −0.100 | 0.066 | −0.229 | 0.029 | 2.315 | 0.128 | |
γ | 0.795 | 0.377 | 0.056 | 1.534 | 4.441 | 0.035 |