Table 1

Comparison of various ARIMA models for prostate cancer cases

ModelConstantARMAMAPEMAPE†
ARIMA (0,1,0)548.63*6.78
ARIMA (1,1,0)522.960.45*5.28
ARIMA (0,1,1)529.15*0.49*5.54
ARIMA (1,1,1)525.280.210.345.38
ARIMA (1,1,0) with covariate475.580.45*5.205.79
  • *P<0.05.

  • †MAPE for out of sample forecast.

  • AR, autoregressive coefficient; MA, moving average coefficient; MAPE, mean absolute percentage error.