Table 5

Comparison of various ARIMA models for age-standardised prostate cancer mortality rate

ModelConstantARMAMAPEMAPE*
ARIMA (0,1,0)−0.223.25
ARIMA (1,1,0)−0.22−0.033.243.22
ARIMA (0,1,1)−0.22−0.023.20
ARIMA (1,1,1)−0.240.79−0.703.20
  • *MAPE for out of sample forecast.

  • AR, autoregressive coefficient; MA, moving average coefficient; MAPE, mean absolute percentage error.