Forecasted annual volume of prostate cancer cases from 2013 to 2022
Year | Forecast | 95% lower CI | 95% upper CI | Sensitivity A | Sensitivity B |
2013 | 20 474 | 18 640 | 22 307 | 20 474 | 20 473 |
2014 | 20 925 | 18 917 | 22 934 | 20 926 | 20 925 |
2015 | 21 430 | 19 388 | 23 472 | 21 431 | 21 429 |
2016 | 21 958 | 19 910 | 24 006 | 21 960 | 21 956 |
2017 | 22 497 | 20 448 | 24 547 | 22 500 | 22 495 |
2018 | 23 045 | 20 995 | 25 094 | 23 049 | 23 041 |
2019 | 23 599 | 21 549 | 25 649 | 23 605 | 23 594 |
2020 | 24 156 | 22 106 | 26 206 | 24 164 | 24 150 |
2021 | 24 721 | 22 671 | 26 770 | 24 732 | 24 714 |
2022 | 25 283 | 23 233 | 27 333 | 25 299 | 25 275 |
Forecast largely reflects current trends in fertility, life expectancy at birth and net overseas migration, whereas sensitivity analyses A and B are based on high and low assumptions for each of these variables, respectively.