OR and 95% CI of CVD for MetS and the number of components of MetS by the NCEP, AHA/NHLBI and IDF criteria
| CHD (n=8349) | Stroke (n=9049) | AF (n=6513) | CHD or stroke or AF (n=20 634) | |||||
| Crude OR (95% CI) | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | Crude OR (95% CI) | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | Crude OR (95% CI) | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | Crude OR (95% CI) | Adjusted OR (95% CI) | |
| MetS by different criteria (ref=non-MetS) | ||||||||
| NCEP ATP III | 1.92 (1.83 to 2.01) | 1.56 (1.48 to 1.63) | 1.43 (1.37 to 1.50) | 1.23 (1.17 to 1.30) | 1.47 (1.39 to 1.55) | 1.14 (1.08 to 1.21) | 1.71 (1.66 to 1.77) | 1.40 (1.35 to 1.45) |
| AHA/NHLBI | 1.86 (1.78 to 1.95) | 1.51 (1.44 to 1.58) | 1.40 (1.34 to 1.46) | 1.20 (1.14 to 1.26) | 1.40 (1.33 to 1.48) | 1.09 (1.04 to 1.15) | 1.64 (1.59 to 1.70) | 1.34 (1.29 to 1.38) |
| IDF | 1.75 (1.67 to 1.83) | 1.41 (1.35 to 1.48) | 1.42 (1.36 to 1.48) | 1.24 (1.19 to 1.30) | 1.42 (1.35 to 1.49) | 1.12 (1.06 to 1.18) | 1.58 (1.54 to 1.63) | 1.31 (1.27 to 1.35) |
| Subgroup of MetS (ref=non-MetS) | ||||||||
| MetS by IDF and NCEP ATP III | 2.17 (2.06 to 2.29) | 1.67 (1.58 to 1.76) | 1.55 (1.47 to 1.64) | 1.31 (1.24 to 1.39) | 1.61 (1.51 to 1.70) | 1.17 (1.10 to 1.25) | 1.69 (1.64 to 1.75) | 1.36 (1.31 to 1.41) |
| MetS by IDF and AHA/NHLBI | 2.10 (2.00 to 2.21) | 1.61 (1.53 to 1.70) | 1.53 (1.45 to 1.61) | 1.28 (1.22 to 1.36) | 1.55 (1.46 to 1.64) | 1.13 (1.07 to 1.21) | 1.64 (1.59 to 1.70) | 1.32 (1.27 to 1.37) |
| MetS by AHA/NHLBI and NCEP ATP III | 1.97 (1.88 to 2.07) | 1.58 (1.50 to 1.66) | 1.45 (1.38 to 1.52) | 1.24 (1.18 to 1.30) | 1.47 (1.39 to 1.55) | 1.13 (1.07 to 1.20) | 1.71 (1.66 to 1.77) | 1.40 (1.35 to 1.45) |
| Number of components of MetS by NCEP ATP III (ref=0) | ||||||||
| 1 | 1.42 (1.28 to 1.56) | 1.24 (1.12 to 1.37) | 2.20 (1.99 to 2.43) | 1.67 (1.51 to 1.85) | 1.40 (1.269 to 1.55) | 1.14 (1.03 to 1.26) | 1.72 (1.61 to 1.83) | 1.39 (1.30 to 1.48) |
| 2 | 2.03 (1.85 to 2.23) | 1.63 (1.48 to 1.80) | 2.54 (2.30 to 2.80) | 1.86 (1.69 to 2.06) | 1.67 (1.51 to 1.85) | 1.23 (1.11 to 1.36) | 2.16 (2.03 to 2.30) | 1.63 (1.53 to 1.74) |
| 3 | 2.73 (2.47 to 3.00) | 2.01 (1.82 to 2.22) | 2.86 (2.58 to 3.16) | 1.98 (1.78 to 2.20) | 1.98 (1.78 to 2.19) | 1.30 (1.17 to 1.45) | 2.74 (2.57 to 2.93) | 1.90 (1.77 to 2.03) |
| 4 | 3.66 (3.29 to 4.08) | 2.42 (2.16 to 2.71) | 3.44 (3.07 to 3.85) | 2.25 (2.00 to 2.53) | 2.38 (2.11 to 2.68) | 1.37 (1.21 to 1.55) | 3.59 (3.34 to 3.87) | 2.26 (20.9 to 2.44) |
| 5 | 4.30 (3.67 to 5.04) | 2.67 (2.26 to 3.15) | 3.42 (2.87 to 4.07) | 2.15 (1.79 to 2.59) | 2.55 (2.11 to 3.08) | 1.35 (1.11 to 1.63) | 3.87 (3.43 to 4.35) | 2.27 (2.00 to 2.57) |
| Number of components of MetS by AHA/NHLBI (ref=0) | ||||||||
| 1 | 1.41 (1.26 to 1.57) | 1.24 (1.11 to 1.38) | 2.10 (1.88 to 2.34) | 1.59 (1.42 to 1.78) | 1.51 (1.34 to 1.69) | 1.24 (1.10 to 1.39) | 1.71 (1.60 to 1.84) | 1.39 (1.29 to 1.50) |
| 2 | 1.95 (1.76 to 2.16) | 1.57 (1.41 to 1.74) | 2.57 (2.31 to 2.86) | 1.82 (1.63 to 2.03) | 1.82 (1.63 to 2.04) | 1.34 (1.19 to 1.49) | 2.21 (2.06 to 2.36) | 1.64 (1.63 to 1.76) |
| 3 | 2.60 (2.34 to 2.89) | 1.91 (1.72 to 2.13) | 2.81 (2.52 to 3.14) | 1.88 (1.68 to 2.02) | 2.02 (1.80 to 2.26) | 1.33 (1.18 to 1.49) | 2.68 (2.50 to 2.87) | 1.83 (1.70 to 1.97) |
| 4 | 3.46 (3.10 to 3.87) | 2.30 (2.05 to 2.58) | 3.34 (2.97 to 3.75) | 2.13 (1.88 to 2.41) | 2.50 (2.21 to 2.83) | 1.46 (1.29 to 1.66) | 3.50 (3.24 to 3.77) | 2.19 (2.02 to 2.37) |
| 5 | 4.39 (3.79 to 5.08) | 2.70 (2.31 to 3.14) | 3.26 (2.77 to 3.83) | 2.03 (1.71 to 2.40) | 2.72 (2.29 to 3.24) | 1.43 (1.20 to 1.71) | 3.94 (3.53 to 4.39) | 2.30 (2.05 to 1.57) |
| Number of components of MetS by IDF (ref=0) | ||||||||
| 1 | 1.31 (1.15 to 1.49) | 1.17 (1.02 to 1.33) | 1.97 (1.72 to 2.25) | 1.59 (1.38 to 1.82) | 1.36 (1.19 to 1.56) | 1.14 (0.99 to 1.31) | 1.56 (1.44 to 1.70) | 1.32 (1.20 to 1.44) |
| 2 | 1.72 (1.52 to 1.95) | 1.38 (1.22 to 1.57) | 2.62 (2.30 to 2.98) | 1.94 (1.70 to 2.22) | 1.70 (1.49 to 1.94) | 1.26 (1.10 to 1.43) | 2.06 (1.90 to 2.24) | 1.57 (1.44 to 1.70) |
| 3 | 2.41 (2.13 to 2.72) | 1.76 (1.55 to 2.00) | 3.02 (2.65 to 3.45) | 2.12 (1.85 to 2.42) | 1.98 (1.74 to 2.26) | 1.31 (1.15 to 1.50) | 2.60 (2.40 to 2.82) | 1.81 (1.67 to 1.97) |
| 4 | 3.07 (2.70 to 3.48) | 2.07 (1.82 to 2.36) | 3.25 (2.84 to 3.72) | 2.18 (1.90 to 2.51) | 2.20 (1.92 to 2.53) | 1.34 (1.17 to 1.54) | 3.11 (2.85 to 3.38) | 2.02 (1.85 to 2.21) |
| 5 | 4.27 (3.70 to 4.92) | 2.66 (2.30 to 3.09) | 3.70 (3.17 to 4.32) | 2.35 (2.00 to 2.76) | 2.47 (2.10 to 2.90) | 1.35 (1.14 to 1.59) | 3.94 (3.57 to 4.36) | 2.36 (2.13 to 2.62) |
Adjusted for sex, age (40–49, 50–59, ≥60), marital status, education, physical activity (3 times/week and ≥30 min each time, or is in industrial and agriculture labour), currently smoking (yes, no), currently drinking (yes, no), family history of CHD, family history of stroke and family history of hypertension.
AF, atrial fibrillation; AHA, American Heart Association; CHD, coronary heart disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; IDF, International Diabetes Federation; MetS, metabolic syndrome; NCEP ATP III, National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III; NHLBI, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; ref, reference.