Table 3

HRs for all-cause mortality according to BMI trajectory groups in the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study, overall and in never-smokers, excluding participants who did not attend 2003–2007 data collection

BMI trajectory groupsOverall* n=(21 903)Never-smokers† n=(13 253)
Person-yearsDeathsHR95% CIPerson-yearsDeathsHR95% CI
TR1 Lower-normal stable52 8786551.0034 6553581.00
TR2 Higher-normal stable96 02112830.880.80 to 0.9758 4206320.910.80 to 1.03
TR3 Normal to overweight65 8259020.980.88 to 1.0938 1184381.040.90 to 1.20
TR4 Borderline obesity chronic66241241.210.99 to 1.473643651.361.04 to 1.79
TR5 Normal to class I obesity22 5982801.130.98 to 1.3014 1141641.221.01 to 1.48
TR6 Overweight to class II obesity‡712583476850
Age 74 years1.431.13 to 1.831.611.17 to 2.20
Age 80 years1.080.84 to 1.391.190.86 to 1.65
Age 85 years0.850.62 to 1.170.930.62 to 1.39
  • *Adjusted for age, birth cohort, height, sex, country of birth, SEIFA, highest level of education, smoking status at latest BMI assessment, baseline MDS, alcohol drinking status and physical activity score.

  • †Adjusted for age, birth cohort, height, sex, country of birth, SEIFA, highest level of education, baseline MDS, alcohol drinking status and physical activity score.

  • ‡The p refers interaction between TR6 and attained age=0.0002 for overall and 0.003 for never-smokers, tested using likelihood ratio test.

  • BMI, body mass index; MDS, Mediterranean Diet Score; SEIFA, Socio-Economic Indexes For Areas.