Table 4

Association of fatty liver index (FLI) with incident type 2 diabetes by metabolic syndrome status (subanalyses)

No metabolic syndromeNumber of subjects (% with T2D) (IR)Model 1 hour (95% CI)Model 2 hour (95% CI)
 FLI*1427 (16.7) (9)1.021 (1.015 to 1.027)1.017 (1.010 to 1.025)†
FLI category
 ≤30 (Ref.)803 (11.5) (6)1.001.00‡
 30-<60456 (20.0) (11)1.81 (1.33 to 2.46)1.58 (1.14 to 2.19)
 ≥60168 (33.3) (18)3.07 (2.14 to 4.41)2.38 (1.58 to 3.58)
 P trend<0.001<0.001
Metabolic syndrome
 FLI*358 (37.7) (24)1.007 (0.997 to 1.016)0.996(0.992-1.000)§
FLI category
 ≤30 (Ref.)29 (31.0) (23)1.0001.000¶
 30–<6091 (36.3) (21)0.77 (0.35 to 1.70)0.80 (0.59 to 1.09)
 ≥60238 (39.1) (25)1.02 (0.49 to 2.16)0.79 (0.58 to 1.06)
 P trend0.420.22
Category by FLI and MS status
 FLI ≤30 MS803 (11.5) (6)1.000
 FLI 30–<60 MS456 (20.0) (11)1.79 (1.33 to 2.41)
 FLI ≥60 MS168 (33.3) (18)3.19 (2.26 to 4.51)
 FLI ≤30 MS+ 29 (31.0) (23)4.31 (2.15 to 8.61)
 FLI 30–<60MS+ 91 (36.3) (21)3.77 (2.50 to 5.70)
 FLI ≥60MS+ 238 (39.1) (25)4.66 (3.42 to 6.35)
  • Model 1: FLI, age, examination date, family history of diabetes, smoking pack years, alcohol consumption per week, physical activity, fruit–berry–vegetable consumption, C reactive protein, leukocytes, thrombocytes, fibrinogen and ferritin.

  • Model 2: Model 1 plus systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, insulin, LDL and HDL.

  • *FLI uncategorised.IR – incidence rate per 1000 person-years

  • †Other independent predictors of T2D in the model were serum ferritin and insulin.

  • ‡Other independent predictors of T2D in the model were serum ferritin and insulin.

  • §Independent predictors of T2D in the model were fasting glucose and insulin.

  • ¶Independent predictors of T2D in the model were fasting glucose and insulin.

  • Statistically significant at p≤0.05.

  • IR, incidence rate per 1000 person-years; MS, metabolic syndrome; MS, metabolic syndrome negative; MS+, metabolic syndrome positive; T2D, type 2 diabetes.