Variable | Non-frequent vs all frequent attenders* | Non-frequent vs temporary frequent attenders† | Non-frequent vs repeat frequent attenders‡ | Non-frequent vs persistent frequent attenders§ |
OR (CI) | OR (CI) | OR (CI) | OR (CI) | |
Sex | ||||
Male | 1.2 (1.1 to 1.3) | 1.2 (1.1 to 1.3) | 1.2 (1.0 to 1.5) | 0.9 (0.7 to 1.2) |
Female (reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Age group | ||||
16–24 (reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
25–44 | 1.2 (1.0 to 1.3) | 1.1 (1.0 to 1.3) | 1.6 (1.1 to 2.3) | 1.9 (1.2 to 3.0) |
45–64 | 1.4 (1.2 to 1.6) | 1.3 (1.1 to 1.5) | 2.0 (1.3 to 2.9) | 2.4 (1.5 to 3.9) |
65–74 | 1.8 (1.5 to 2.1) | 1.6 (1.4 to 2.0) | 2.2 (1.4 to 3.4) | 2.1 (1.1 to 3.8) |
75+ | 2.1 (1.8 to 2.5) | 2.1 (1.7 to 2.4) | 2.3 (1.5 to 3.6) | 1.6 (0.9 to 2.9) |
Partner | ||||
Yes | 0.7 (0.6 to 0.8) | 0.7 (0.7 to 0.8) | 0.6 (0.5 to 0.8) | 0.5 (0.4 to 0.7) |
No (reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Uninsured (no private hospital insurance)¶ | ||||
Yes | 1.7 (1.6 to 1.9) | 1.7 (1.5 to 1.9) | 1.8 (1.3 to 2.4) | 1.9 (1.2 to 2.8) |
No (reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander | ||||
Yes | 2.0 (1.7 to 2.4) | 1.9 (1.5 to 2.3) | 2.5 (1.7 to 3.7) | 2.6 (1.6 to 4.2) |
No (reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
High average triage (1–3) | ||||
Yes | 2.1 (1.9 to 2.3) | 2.0 (1.8 to 2.3) | 2.4 (1.8 to 3.2) | 1.9 (1.3 to 2.7) |
No (reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Preferred language non-English¶ | ||||
Yes | 1.1 (0.9 to 1.4) | 1.2 (0.9 to 1.4) | 1.2 (0.7 to 2.0) | 0.7 (0.3 to 1.8) |
No (reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Proportion of visits admitted | 0.7 (0.6 to 0.8) | 0.7 (0.6,0.9) | 0.6 (0.4 to 0.9) | 0.5 (0.3 to 0.9) |
Socioeconomic status | ||||
Quintile 1 (low) | 1.4 (1.2 to 1.5) | 1.4 (1.2 to 1.5) | 1.3 (1.0 to 1.7) | 1.4 (1.0 to 2.0) |
Quintile 2 | 0.9 (0.8 to 1.0) | 0.9 (0.8 to 1.1) | 0.9 (0.6 to 1.2) | 0.8 (0.5 to 1.3) |
Quintile 3 (reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Quintile 4 | 0.6 (0.5 to 0.8) | 0.7 (0.6 to 0.9) | 0.5 (0.3 to 0.8) | 0.5 (0.2 to 1.1) |
Quintile 5 (high) | 0.6 (0.5 to 0.7) | 0.7 (0.5 to 0.8) | 0.4 (0.2 to 0.7) | 0.3 (0.1 to 0.8) |
Major diagnostic block†† | ||||
Alcohol/drug abuse and alcohol/drug-induced mental disorders | 6.4 (4.3 to 9.7) | 5.1 (3.2 to 8.2) | 11.2 (4.4 to 28.3) | 17.9 (6.2 to 51.5) |
Circulatory system illness | 2.3 (1.9 to 2.7) | 2.0 (1.7 to 2.5) | 3.4 (2.0 to 5.5) | 4.0 (2.0 to 8.0) |
Digestive system illness | 2.8 (2.4 to 3.3) | 2.5 (2.1 to 3.0) | 4.3 (2.7 to 7.0) | 5.6 (2.9 to 10.6) |
Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic system illness | 2.8 (1.9 to 4.2) | 2.4 (1.5 to 3.7) | 4.8 (1.8 to 13.1) | 6.5 (1.7 to 24.4) |
Illness of skin, subcutaneous tissue, breast | 2.9 (2.4 to 3.7) | 2.9 (2.2 to 3.6) | 3.6 (1.9 to 7.0) | 2.7 (1.0 to 7.3) |
Injury, single site, major (reference) | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Musculoskeletal/connective tissue system illness | 1.7 (1.4 to 2.1) | 1.5 (1.2 to 1.9) | 2.6 (1.5 to 4.7) | 3.1 (1.4 to 6.7) |
Neurological system illness | 2.2 (1.8 to 2.7) | 1.8 (1.4 to 2.3) | 3.2 (1.8 to 5.8) | 6.8 (3.3 to 13.7) |
Psychiatric illness | 6.2 (5.1 to 7.5) | 4.8 (3.8 to 6.0) | 12.5 (7.6 to20.5) | 13.7 (7.1 to 26.5) |
Respiratory system illness | 3.3 (2.8 to 4.0) | 3.0 (2.4 to 3.6) | 5.1 (3.1 to 8.5) | 5.6 (2.8 to 11.4) |
Urological system illness | 3.2 (2.6 to 3.9) | 3.0 (2.4 to 3.8) | 4.3 (2.3 to 7.8) | 3.4 (1.3 to 8.6) |
Other | 1.7 (1.4 to1.9) | 1.6 (1.4 to 2.0) | 1.8 (1.1 to 3.0) | 1.3 (0.6 to 2.8) |
*n=211 447, AUC=0.82, Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 =1867 (p<0.0001), generalised χ2/DF=0.90.
†n=210 198, AUC=0.80, Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 =1461 (p<0.0001), generalised χ2/DF=0.90.
‡N=206 440, AUC=0.87, Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 =877 (p<0.0001), generalised χ2/DF=0.79.
§N=206 097, AUC=0.89, Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2 =678 (p<0.0001), generalised χ2/DF =0.89.
¶Missing values imputed with patient’s most recent non-missing value.
††Most frequent MDB over all visits. Excludes missing diagnoses and those unable to be mapped to an MDB. All MDBs which included less than five ongoing, repeat or temporary frequent attenders was included with ‘Other MDB’ in a category labelled ‘Other’.
99.8% CI (α adjusted for multiple comparisons, 1-α/m=1–0.05/26=0.998).
AUC, area under the curve.