Table 1

Classification of precision of net effect estimate

Pattern of net effect estimateClassificationPrecision of net effect estimate is consistent with …
Entire CI is beneficialNet benefitHigh certainty of net benefit
Point estimate is beneficial, lower bound of CI is harmful and point estimate has larger absolute value than lower bound of CILikely net benefitModerate certainty of net benefit
Point estimate is beneficial, lower bound of CI is harmful and point estimate has smaller absolute value than lower bound of CIPossible net benefitLow certainty of net benefit
Point estimate is close to zero, wide CI* Possibly no net benefit or harmVery low certainty of net benefit or harm
Point estimate is close to zero, narrow CI* Net benefit or harm likely near zeroModerate certainty of little net benefit or harm
Point estimate is harmful, upper bound of CI is beneficial and point estimate has smaller absolute value than upper bound of CIPossible net harmLow certainty of net harm
Point estimate is harmful, upper bound of CI is beneficial and point estimate has larger absolute value than upper bound of CILikely net harmModerate certainty of net harm
Entire CI is harmfulNet harmHigh certainty of net harm
  • *Differentiation of wide versus narrow CIs could be based on a threshold of minimally important differences.