Table 4

Prognostic factors of hospital reattendance in older patients discharge alive after an acute emergency department (ED) contact

0–30 days0–360 days
%, total (n)%, (n)Crude SHR
(95% CI)
P valueAdjusted SHR
(95% CI)*
P value%, (n)Crude SHR
(95% CI)
P valueAdjusted SHR
(95% CI)*
P value
Gender
 Female55.4 (1994) 15.8 (307)1 (ref)1 32.0 (623)11
 Male44.6 (1570) 14.0 (219) 0.88 (0.74 to 1.04)0.142 0.95 (0.79 to 1.15)0.591 30.6 (480) 0.94 (0.84 to 1.06)0.311 1.00 (0.88 to 1.14)0.985
Age 1.01 (1.00 to 1.02) 0.029 1.00 (0.99 to 1.01)1.000 1.00 (0.99 to 1.01)0.478 1.00 (1.00 to 1.01)0.602
Charlson Comorbidity Index
 028.8 (1015) 12.7 (129)11 28.0 (284)11
 1–242.2 (1484) 14.2 (210) 1.12 (0.90 to 1.39)0.325 0.97 (0.77 to 1.22)0.800 32.4 (480) 1.17 (1.01 to 1.35) 0.040 1.12 (0.96 to 1.30)0.166
 ≥329.0 (1020) 18.3 (187) 1.47 (1.18 to 1.84) 0.001 1.20 (0.93 to 1.53)0.155 33.2 (339) 1.22 (1.04 to 1.43) 0.013 1.15 (0.97 to 1.38)0.112
Living status
 Not alone42.4 (1474) 13.7 (202)11 28.5 (420)11
 Alone57.6 (2002) 16.1 (322) 1.19 (1.00 to 1.42) 0.048 1.02 (0.83 to 1.26)0.855 33.9 (678) 1.23 (1.09 to 1.39) <0.001 1.23 (1.07 to 1.42) 0.004
Urgency
 Less urgent62.3 (2161) 15.1 (326)11 31.0 (669)11
 Urgent37.7 (1305) 14.7 (192) 0.97 (0.81 to 1.15)0.708 0.99 (0.82 to 1.18)0.873 31.7 (413) 1.02 (0.90 to 1.15)0.788 1.02 (0.90 to 1.16)0.351
No of medications
 <536.2 (1275) 12.3 (157)11 29.4 (375)11
 ≥563.8 (2244) 16.4 (369) 1.36 (1.13 to 1.64) 0.001 1.23 (1.01 to 1.49) 0.039 32.4 (728) 1.13 (1.00 to 1.28)0.046 1.06 (0.93 to 1.21)0.351
Length of stay
 ED visit33.6 (1184) 14.0 (166)11 41.8 (376)11
 <48 hours13.0 (456) 15.1 (69) 1.08 (0.81 to 1.42)0.603 1.06 (0.80 to 1.41)0.688 36.0 (163) 1.04 (0.89 to 1.22)0.581 1.15 (0.95 to 1.38)0.152
 ≥48 hours53.4 (1879) 15.5 (291) 1.10 (0.91 to 1.33)0.335 0.97 (0.80 to 1.18)0.765 30.0 (563) 0.89 (0.80 to 0.99) 0.035 0.88 (0.77 to 1.00)0.058
Municipality healthcare
 Independent50.3 (1772) 11.5 (204)11 29.0 (513)11
 Dependent33.9 (1192) 19.7 (235) 1.78 (1.47 to 2.14) <0.001 1.67 (1.34 to 2.10) <0.001 36.5 (435) 1.33 (1.17 to 1.51) <0.001 1.28 (1.09 to 1.50) 0.002
 In residential care15.8 (555) 15.7 (87) 1.08 (1.08 to 1.77) 0.011 1.33 (0.98 to 1.81)0.063 27.9 (155) 0.95 (0.80 to 1.14)0.609 0.88 (0.71 to 1.09)0.242
  • Proportions, SHRs, and p-values < 0.05 presented as bold values.

  • *Competing-risks regression model adjusted for gender, age as continuous variable, Charlson Comorbidity Index (0, 1–2, ≥3), number of medications (<5, ≥5), length of stay, living alone, urgency level (urgent, less urgent), and municipality healthcare the month before index contact as categorical variable.

  • SHR, sub-HR.