Table 3

Multinomial logistic regression results (OR) for specialty choice*

Anaesthesia and emergency medicineDiagnosticsMedical specialtiesMental healthObstetrics and gynaecology (includes medical paediatrics)Surgical specialties
OR95% CI for OROR95% CI for OROR95% CI for OROR95% CI for OROR95% CI for OROR95% CI for OR
Lower boundUpper boundLower boundUpper boundLower boundUpper boundLower boundUpper boundLower boundUpper boundLower boundUpper bound
Model 1 (using non-imputed data [complete case analysis]) (n=2823)
 UKFP application score1.05**1.031.081.07*1.021.121.07**1.051.090.980.941.021.06**1.031.091.08**1.051.12
 Male2.31**1.763.042.16*1.313.571.85**1.492.311.74*1.152.650.56*0.390.804.11**3.035.57
 School leaver (<21 years)0.920.641.331.120.532.351.82*1.302.550.650.381.102.73**1.574.741.310.832.07
 Parental education (no degree)0.60*0.440.810.590.331.070.65**0.510.830.780.501.240.850.611.180.800.581.11
 State (high) school0.850.621.160.660.381.130.78*0.610.990.61*0.380.960.920.651.300.57*0.410.79
 Non-white0.49**0.360.671.180.701.990.900.711.130.43*0.260.700.52**0.360.751.220.901.66
Model 2 (using multiple imputation to account for missing data in UKFP selection score in model 1) (n=6065)
 UKFP application score1.02*1.011.041.020.971.081.02*1.011.040.990.961.011.02*1.001.051.04*1.011.06
 Male1.90**1.612.252.01*1.442.801.41**1.231.631.57*1.212.040.55**0.440.673.31**2.744.00
 School leaver (<21 years)1.24*1.041.480.810.571.141.73**1.482.010.900.691.181.43*1.171.751.23*1.041.56
 Parental education (no degree)0.720.590.880.770.511.130.78*0.670.920.970.731.290.920.721.160.850.681.05
 State (high) school0.940.761.170.710.451.130.82*0.680.980.66*0.490.900.950.741.210.73*0.560.95
 Non-white0.51**0.420.631.190.821.701.140.991.330.800.601.070.68*0.550.851.35*1.101.65
Model 3 (using complete analysis, without controlling for the effect of UKFP selection score) (n=6065)
 Male1.98**1.652.382.19*1.513.191.46**1.251.701.73*1.302.310.51**0.400.663.47**2.804.29
 School leaver (<21 years)1.180.961.440.870.581.321.75**1.462.090.760.561.031.65**1.292.101.230.971.57
 Parental education (no degree)0.73*0.600.880.720.481.080.72**0.610.850.950.711.290.910.731.130.800.641.00
 State (high) school0.930.741.170.760.491.180.80*0.670.960.59*0.420.821.020.791.320.68*0.530.86
 Non-white0.46**0.370.581.050.701.570.80*0.680.950.68*0.480.950.51**0.390.660.990.791.24
  • Reference categories for the control variables are female, mature students, trainees with parents educated to degree level, privately funded (high) school and white ethnicity.

  • *OR indicate the odds of getting a post in a given specialty relative to general practice, the reference group.

  • *P<0.05; **P<0.001.

  • UKFP, UK Foundation Programme.