Table 4

Validation of the instrument

All patientsAcute patientsElective patients
SensitivitySpecificitySensitivitySpecificitySensitivitySpecificity
All AEs
 Standard 30*5.7 (4.9 to 6.7)95.2 (93.5 to 96.6)11.5 (9.4 to 13.8)89 (82.0 to 93.4)3.2 (2.9 to 3.5)97.4 (97.1 to 97.7)
 Standard 90†14.8 (8.2 to 24.3)92.1 (89.9 to 93.8)20.6 (15.6 to 28.1)82.6 (75.0 to 87.3)15.5 (4.5 to 37.3)95.1 (93.1 to 96.2)
 Readmission 30†4.2 (2.9 to 5.5)93.8 (92.3 to 94.9)4.5 (4.2 to 4.8)86.6 (83 to 89.5)3.1 (2.3 to 3.9)96.8 (96.6 to 97)
 Readmission 90†21.6 (6.4 to 64.4)90.4 (88.4 to 92.0)12.9 (8.2 to 13.3)80.1 (76.0 to 83.6)20.8 (3.8 to 68.4)94.7 (92.8 to 95.7)
Preventable AEs
 Standard 30*5.9 (5 to 7)94.9 (93.3 to 96.2)11.8 (9.5 to 14.4)89.6 (84.4 to 93.4)3.1 (2.9 to 3.6)97.3 (96.9 to 97.6)
 Standard 90*18.0 (8.6 to 31.4)91.9 (89.9 to 93.6)23.2 (15.8 to 36.1)83.5 (77.7 to 87.7)17.7 (4.6 to 69.0)95.1 (93.1 to 96.2)
 Readmission 30†3.0 (2.9 to 3.1)93.9 (92.4 to 95.1)4.5 (4.2 to 4.9)86.9 (83.4 to 89.9)2.4 (2.3 to 2.5)96.9 (96.7 to 97.2)
 Readmission 90†22.1 (5.1 to 65.5)90.5 (88.4 to 92.2)12.9 (8.0 to 13.4)80.1 (76.1 to 83.5)19.9 (3.8 to 57.3)94.8 (92.9 to 95.8)
Major AEs
 Standard 30*6.2 (5 to 7.8)94.8 (93.2 to 96)12.8 (9.2 to 17.5)89.1 (85.0 to 92.3)3.2 (2.9 to 3.6)97.3 (96.9 to 97.6)
 Standard 90*18.9 (8.1 to 39.1)91.2 (89 to 92.9)18.2 (14.4 to 23.4)81.9 (77.2 to 85.8)21.2 (4.7 to 68.4)95.1 (93.2 to 96.1)
 Readmission 30†3.0 (2.9 to 3.1)93.9 (92.4 to 95.1)4.5 (4.2 to 5)87.0 (83.6 to 90.0)2.4 (2.3 to 2.5)96.9 (96.7 to 97.2)
 Readmission 90†19.6 (5.1 to 65.5)90.5 (88.4 to 92.2)8.4 (7.7 to 9)80.1 (76.0 to 83.6)19.9 (3.8 to 67.9)87.2 (92.9 to 95.8)
Selected AEs
 Standard 30*6.5 (5.3 to 8.1)95.1 (93.4 to 96.2)13.0 (10.1 to 16.2)90.0 (85 to 93.7)3.3 (3 to 3.6)97.2 (96.9 to 97.5)
 Standard 90*14.3 (8.8 to 25.3)91.6 (89.2 to 93.3)19.5 (16.3 to 23.1)83.4 (77.5 to 88.0)17.9 (4.7 to 48.2)95.0 (93.2 to 96.1)
 Readmission 30†3.0 (2.8 to 3.1)93.9 (92.5 to 95.0)4.5 (4.2 to 5.2)87.0 (83.5 to 89.8)2.3 (2.3 to 2.5)96.9 (96.6 to 97.1)
 Readmission 90†26.6 (6.5 to 65.6)90.5 (88.5 to 92.1)13.3 (8.7 to 14.2)80.4 (75.8 to 84.0)26.2 (3.9 to 69.4)87.3 (92.9 to 95.7)
  • 95% CI in brackets.

  • *AEs found (with RRR) during index and readmissions versus instrument (readmissions only).

  • †AEs found (with RRR) during readmissions versus instrument (readmissions only).

  • AEs, adverse events.