Estimated relative change in intake of F&V under each modelled Brexit scenario
| Scenario | Change in intake (95% UI) | |
| Fruits | Vegetables | |
| Scenario 1 | −4.4% (−5.2% to −3.8%) | −2.5% (−3.1% to −1.9%) |
| Scenario 2 | −7.0% (−8.4% to −5.9%) | −2.7% (−3.3% to −2.2%) |
| Scenario 3 | −11.4% (−14.2% to −9.5%) | −9.1% (−11.0% to −7.8%) |
| Scenario 4 | −2.8% (−3.3% to −2.3%) | −4.0% (−4.6% to −3.4%) |
Scenario 1: free trading agreement with the EU and third countries; scenario 2: free trading agreement with the EU; scenario 3: no-deal Brexit; scenario 4: liberalised trade regime.
F&V, fruits and vegetables; UI, uncertainty interval.