Main model—full results with A&E presentation as the outcome
| Main model HR (95% CI) | |
| Current annual review | 0.962 (0.856 to 1.080) |
| Current care plan | 0.866* (0.766 to 0.979) |
| Expired care plan | 0.808* (0.672 to 0.972) |
| Age at diagnosis | |
| 18 to 35 (base) | |
| 36 to 45 | 0.806* (0.657 to 0.988) |
| 46 to 55 | 0.619*** (0.507 to 0.755) |
| 56 to 65 | 0.582*** (0.460 to 0.738) |
| ≥66 | 1.098 (0.917 to 1.314) |
| Male | 1.016 (0.861 to 1.199) |
| Age at diagnosis *Male | |
| 18 to 35*Male (base) | |
| 36 to 45*Male | 0.919 (0.694 to 1.216) |
| 46 to 55*Male | 1.215 (0.911 to 1.614) |
| 56 to 65*Male | 1.432* (1.037 to 1.978) |
| ≥66*Male | 0.939 (0.727 to 1.203) |
| SMI diagnosis group | |
| Bipolar disorder or affective psychosis (base) | |
| Schizophrenia or other psychosis | 1.103 (0.997 to 1.220) |
| Both | 1.119 (0.888 to 1.411) |
| Index of Multiple Deprivation | |
| 1st quintile (base) | |
| 2nd quintile | 0.955 (0.804 to 1.133) |
| 3rd quintile | 1.100 (0.918 to 1.319) |
| 4th quintile | 1.178 (0.978 to 1.419) |
| 5th quintile | 1.196 (0.985 to 1.453) |
| Ethnicity white | 1.277*** (1.149 to 1.421) |
| Number of admissions within 12 months prior to diagnosis | |
| 0 (base) | |
| 1 | 1.174** (1.050 to 1.313) |
| 2 | 1.190* (1.028 to 1.377) |
| 3 or more | 1.500*** (1.268 to 1.775) |
| Number of primary care contacts within 12 months prior to diagnosis | |
| <5 (base) | |
| 5 to 9 | 1.219** (1.056 to 1.407) |
| 10 to 14 | 1.334*** (1.165 to 1.528) |
| 15 to 19 | 1.714*** (1.459 to 2.013) |
| ≥20 | 1.861*** (1.592 to 2.176) |
| Current or ex-smoker | 1.101 (0.983 to 1.233) |
| Number of Charlson Index comorbidities | 1.111*** (1.052 to 1.174) |
| Diagnosis of depression | 1.005 (0.904 to 1.118) |
| Year of diagnosis | |
| 2007 (base) | |
| 2008 | 1.263* (1.040 to 1.532) |
| 2009 | 1.383*** (1.149 to 1.665) |
| 2010 | 1.644*** (1.356 to 1.994) |
| 2011 | 1.551*** (1.244 to 1.933) |
| 2012 | 1.385** (1.105 to 1.737) |
| 2013 | 1.266 (0.990 to 1.614) |
| 2014 | 0.970 (0.557 to 1.691) |
| Practice list size | 1.000 (1.000 to 1.000) |
| Number of patients | 4446 |
*p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p<0.001.
SMI, severe mental illness.