Table 3

Crude and adjusted HR of general and central adiposity indicators

Age-adjusted HR (95% CI)Model 1 HR (95% CI)Model 2 HR (95% CI)
BMI groups at 20 years
 Cases/total857/16 055457/8825NA
  Underweight0.93 (0.73 to 1.15)0.97 (0.71 to 1.34)
  Normal weight1.001.00
  Overweight0.83 (0.63 to 1.01)0.81 (0.55 to 1.21)
  Obese0.94 (0.51 to 1.76)0.42 (0.10 to 1.68)
  Linear model (per kg/m2)0.98  (0.96   to 1.00)0.98 (0.94 to 1.01)
  P for trend (linear model)0.1230.168
BMI groups at enrolment
 Cases/total901/17 003476/9241453/8781
  Underweight0.54 (0.27 to 1.09)0.49 (0.16 to 1.55)0.32 (0.08 to 1.30)
  Normal weight1.001.001.00
  Overweight1.27 (1.10 to  1.47)1.28 (1.05 to 1.56)1.34 (1.09 to 1.65)
  Obese1.32 (1.08 to  1.62)1.18 (0.88 to 1.59)1.27 (0.91 to 1.76)
  Linear model (per kg/m2)1.03 (1.02 to 1.04)1.03 (1.00 to 1.05)1.04 (1.02 to 1.07)
  P for trend (linear model)0.0210.001
Waist circumference at enrolment
 Case/total776/14 476483/9334380/7377
  Waist circumference (per 5 cm)1.05 (1.02 to 1.09)1.06 (1.01 to 1.11)1.07 (1.01 to 1.14)
Skirt size at enrolment
 Case/total911/16 906479/9197447/8552
  ≤101.001.001.00
  121.95 (1.29 to 2.96)2.06 (1.12 to 3.78)1.92 (1.04 to 3.54)
  142.02 (1.34 to 3.03)2.43 (1.35 to 4.39)2.45 (1.35 to 4.43)
  162.31 (1.54 to 3.48)2.74 (1.51 to 4.97)2.87 (1.58 to 5.22)
  182.32 (1.52 to 3.55)2.67 (1.43 to 4.98)2.74 (1.45.5.15)
  ≥202.57 (1.66 to 3.97)3.21 (1.70 to 6.08)3.06 (1.58 to 5.93)
  Linear model (per 2 unit)1.09 (1.05 to 1.15)1.12 (1.06 to 1.19)1.14 (1.06 to 1.22)
  P for trend (linear model)<0.001<0.001<0.001
Blouse size at enrolment
Case/total873/16 222459/8834428/8206
  ≤101.001.001.00
  121.56 (1.13 to 2.17)2.04 (1.24 to 3.36)2.11 (1.26 to 3.53)
  141.59 (1.16 to 2.20)2.13 (1.30 to 3.48)2.25 (1.36 to 3.75)
  161.74 (1.25 to 2.42)2.20 (1.33 to 3.64)2.39 (1.42 to 4.03)
  181.57 (1.09 to 2.26)2.02 (1.16 to 3.52)2.21 (1.24 to 3.96)
  ≥202.11 (1.46 to 3.03)2.63 (1.50 to 4.61)2.92 (1.60 to 5.32)
  Linear model (per 2 unit)1.08 (1.03 to 1.12)1.08 (1.01 to 1.14)1.10 (1.03 to 1.18)
  P for trend (linear model)0.0010.0190.005
  • Model 1: adjusted for age, education levels, parity, age at first birth, age of menarche, use of HRT, use of OC, family history of breast cancer, dietary pattern, walking (hours/day).

  • Model 2: model 1+BMI at 20 years.

  • BMI, body mass index; HRT, hormone replacement therapy; OC, oral contraceptive.