Table 5

Results of the FINGER-based predictive models: area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) (CI 95%)

FINGER scores (first year)High costs
(>95th percentile)
Very high costs (>99th percentile)≥1 admissionsProlonged stay
(≥12 days)
Very prolonged stay (≥16 days)Death
N48 734989733 88410 28870729392
%5.011.023.481.060.730.96
Age and sex0.764
(0.762 to 0.766)
0.794
(0.79 to 0.798)
0.739
(0.736 to 0.742)
0.778
(0.773 to 0.782)
0.776
(0.771 to 0.782)
0.872
(0.869 to 0.875)
Diagnoses0.772
(0.769 to 0.774)
0.807
(0.802 to 0.812)
0.733
(0.73 to 0.737)
0.785
(0.779 to 0.79)
0.796
(0.79 to 0.803)
0.782
(0.777 to 0.788)
Age & sex+diagnoses0.826
(0.824 to 0.828)
0.866
(0.862 to 0.869)
0.789
(0.786 to 0.792)
0.844
(0.84 to 0.848)
0.851
(0.846 to 0.855)
0.898
(0.896 to 0.901)
Age and sex+diagnoses+
resource use in previous year
0.838
(0.836 to 0.84)
0.875
(0.872 to 0.879)
0.802
(0.799 to 0.805)
0.854
(0.85 to 0.858)
0.861
(0.857 to 0.866)
0.896
(0.893 to 0.899)