Cumulative excess average daily NCD-YLL (and 95% confidence bounds) stratified across lag 0–4 and lag 0–14 days and gender between 2000 and 2010. Relative risks were used to calculate excess average daily NCD-YLL as follows: (Average daily NCD-YLL of all ages, male or female × relative risk) − Average daily NCD-YLL. NCD-YLL are presented for: heat effects as 38.9°C, 41.1°C, 41.7°C and 42.8°C with reference to 36.4°C; cold effects as 27.8°C, 30°C, 31.1°C and 33.3°C with reference to 36.4°C. Results controlled for long-term trends, season, day of the week and heaping effect
| 27.8°C (1st percentile) | 30°C (5th percentile) | 31.1°C (10th percentile) | 33.3°C (25th percentile) | 38.9°C (75th percentile) | 41.4°C (90th percentile) | 41.7°C (95th percentile) | 42.8°C (99th percentile) | |
| 34 days below 27.8°C | 174 days below 30°C | 325 days below 31.3°C | 912 days below 33.3°C | 883 days above 38.9°C | 300 days above 41.4°C | 189 days above 41.7°C | 28 days above 42.8°C | |
| YLL (95% CI) | YLL (95% CI) | YLL (95% CI) | YLL (95% CI) | YLL (95% CI) | YLL (95% CI) | YLL (95% CI) | YLL (95% CI) | |
| Lag structure 0–4 | ||||||||
| All ages | −2.11 (−3.61 to 1.64) | −0.81 (−2.02 to 0.97) | −0.31 (−1.30 to 0.97) | 0.00 (−0.03 to 0.03) | 1.33 (−0.86 to 4.80) | 4.44 (0.24 to 12.28) | 4.98 (0.38 to 13.83) | 7.39 (0.32 to 24.62) |
| Male | −1.13 (−2.04 to 2.06) | −0.55 (−1.30 to 0.72) | −0.29 (−0.92 to 0.59) | 0.00 (−0.03 to 0.02) | 0.86 (−0.62 to 3.57) | 3.73 (0.33 to 11.39) | 4.48 (0.54 to 13.65) | 8.65 (1.07 to 32.73) |
| Female | −1.30 (−1.88 to 0.86) | −0.39 (−1.11 to 0.85) | −0.03 (−0.66 to 0.90) | 0.01 (−0.01 to 0.03) | 0.10 (−0.97 to 2.19) | 0.43 (−1.08 to 4.16) | 0.39 (−1.13 to 4.32) | 0.12 (−1.48 to 5.86) |
| Lag structure 0–14 | ||||||||
| All ages | −0.48 (−3.6 to 12.27) | −0.28 (−2.15 to 3.01) | −0.20 (−1.64 to 1.95) | −0.01 (−0.06 to 0.04) | 3.01 (−0.84 to 10.82) | 4.53 (−1.33 to 20.89) | 4.5 (−1.55 to 22.57) | 4.07 (−2.73 to 35.66) |
| Male | −0.70 (−2.14 to 8.71) | −0.21 (−1.37 to 2.25) | −0.06 (−1.03 to 1.58) | 0.00 (−0.04 to 0.04) | 1.38 (−0.90 to 7.12) | 2.67 (−1.03 to 16.44) | 2.74 (−1.14 to 18.48) | 2.78 (−1.72 to 36.83) |
| Female | 0.50 (−1.75 to 17.37) | 0.20 (−1.08 to 3.07) | 0.09 (−0.86 to 1.77) | 0.00 (−0.03 to 0.03) | 0.87 (−1.05 to 6.28) | 0.59 (−1.52 to 10.44) | 0.44 (−1.60 to 10.86) | −0.18 (−1.89 to 15.32) |
NCD, non-communicable disease; YLL, years of life lost.