Table 3

Sensitivity analysis: effect of age, obesity, smoking, diabetes mellitus and biological relationship in an otherwise ideal non-donor on outcomes with and without donation

White maleWhite femaleBlack maleBlack female
Age 20
 Life expectancy59.535 years64.760 years55.130 years62.076 years
 Cumulative ESRD%0.5830.3521.6281.227
 Lost with donation, years−0.734 (1.2%)−0.471 (0.7%)−1.003 (1.8%)−0.958 (1.5%)
 Added ESRD%+2.173 (1/46)+0.777 (1/129)+5.43 (1/18)+3.878 (1/26)
Age 60
 Life expectancy23.93327.75221.56026.767
 Cumulative ESRD%0.260.150.4890.312
 Lost with donation, years−0.518 (2.2%)−0.332 (1.1%)−0.590 (2.7%)−0.626 (2.3%)
 Added ESRD%+0.954 (1/105)+0.302 (1/331)+1.945 (1/51)+1.094 (1/91)
Age 40
 Life expectancy41.145.57137.23643.352
 Cumulative ESRD%0.430.291.000.851
 Lost with donation, years−0.572 (1.4%)−0.462 (1.0%)−0.799 (2.1%)−0.824 (1.9%)
 Added ESRD%+1.59 (1/63)+0.643 (1/155)+3.80 (1/26)+2.85% (1/35)
Age 40 smoker
 Life expectancy34.02738.70128.92735.677
 Cumulative ESRD%0.7860.6541.771.566
 Lost with donation, years−0.496 (1.5%)−0.395 (1.0%)−0.636 (2.2%)−0.718 (2.0%)
 Added ESRD%+2.75 (1/36)+1.405 (1/71)+4.51 (1/22)+4.924 (1/20)
Age 40, BMI 30–35
 Life expectancy38.92543.24333.13040.885
 Cumulative ESRD%0.4970.3561.290.994
 Lost with donation, years−0.545 (1.4%)−0.418 (0.97%)−0.716 (2.2%)−0.758 (1.9%)
 Added ESRD%+1.80 (1/56)+0.786 (1/127)+4.736 (1/21)+3.28 (1/30)
Age 40, biological
 Life expectancy40.99245.43537.12743.191
 Cumulative ESRD%0.6340.4241.3591.222
 Lost with donation, years−0.655 (1.6%)−0.504 (1.1%)−0.944 (2.5%)−0.940 (2.2%)
 Added ESRD%+2.22% (1/45)0.927% (1/107)+5.07 (1/20)+3.91 (1/26)
Age 40, non-biological
 Life expectancy41.36145.91337.52543.749
 Cumulative ESRD%0.1310.090.3190.27
 Lost with donation, years−0.378 (0.9%)−0.354 (0.78%)−0.488 (1.3%)−0.583 (1.3%)
 Added ESRD%+0.522 (1/191)+0.21 (1/476)+1.46 (1/69)+1.02 (1/98)
Age 40, diabetes mellitus
 Life expectancy35.05138.39531.25837.431
 Cumulative ESRD%1.3311.462.612.24
 Lost with donation, years−0.889 (2.5%)−0.764 (2.0%)−1.162 (3.7%)−1.239 (3.3%)
 Added ESRD%+4.48 (1/22)+3.01 (1/33)+8.45 (1/12)+6.866 (1/15)
  • BMI, body mass index; ESRD, end-stage renal disease.