Table 4

Annual costs spent and averted per disease state in 2035

In billions 2015 US$, discounted by 3.0% annually
StateNo intervention (CI)20% reduction (CI)Difference (CI)50% reduction (CI)Difference (CI)
Steatosis6.48 (6.43–6.53)6.40 (6.35–6.45)0.08 (0.080–0.082)6.23 (6.18–6.28)0.25 (0.248–0.255)
NASH5.26 (5.22–5.30)4.89 (4.85–4.93)0.37 (0.368–0.375)4.11 (4.08–4.14)1.15 (1.139–1.162)
Cirrhosis7.00 (6.93–7.07)6.22 (6.16–6.28)0.78 (0.772–0.791)4.60 (4.56–4.65)2.40 (2.371–2.429)
HCC5.10 (5.04–5.16)4.55 (4.50–4.60)0.55 (0.537–0.558)3.40 (3.36–3.44)1.70 (1.669–1.721)
CHD162.2 (160.9–163.6)160.1 (158.8–161.5)2.09 (2.06–2.12)155.7 (154.4–157.0)6.51 (6.43–6.58)
T2D200.0 (198.4–201.6)195.9 (194.3–197.5)4.07 (4.02–4.12)187.4 (185.9–188.9)12.59 (12.46–12.73)
Overweight16.4 (16.3–16.5)16.6 (16.5–16.8)-0.25 (-0.26− -0.25)17.2 (17.1–17.3)-0.79 (-0.81− -0.78)
Obesity52.7 (52.3–53.1)50.1 (49.7–50.5)2.59 (2.57–2.62)44.7 (44.3–45.0)8.03 (7.95–8.12)
Total455.1 (451.4–458.9)444.9 (441.2–448.5)10.3 (10.2–10.4)423.3 (419.8–426.8)31.8 (31.5–32.2)
  • CHD, coronary heart disease; CI, 95% central coverage interval; HCC, hepatocellular carcinoma; NASH, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis; T2D, type 2 diabetes.

  • Numbers might not add up due to rounding.