Table 5

Mean technology prediction timeframe (years) by technology type*

Technology typenMean timeframe,
years (SD)
Non-surgical therapy149.07 (5.7)
Diagnostic tests and imaging11310.11 (6.0)
Drugs (not prophylactic vaccines)7510.31 (6.3)
Therapeutic procedures3110.45 (8.2)
Organisational programmes2510.48 (5.3)
IT systems, eHealth and mHealth7711.08 (5.5)
Devices and biomaterials8811.93 (6.8)
Assistive devices312.33 (17.9)
Other/unknown4013.35 (7.2)
Medical equipment3613.53 (2.7)
Regenerative medicine7313.58 (7.4)
Prophylactic vaccines1314.00 (6.3)
Population programmes1914.53 (5.9)
Total60711.59 (6.6)
  • *p<0.002.

  • IT,¬†information technology; eHealth, electronic health; mHealth, mobile health.