Table 1

Care pathway costs—base case analysis

Lesion status assessmentObservations* (%)Pathway cost†
Mean (SD)
Experts (true)Optometrists' decision
ReactivatedReactivated795 (39.43)£935.40 (45.50)
ReactivatedSuspicious142 (7.04)£103.61 (18.51)
ReactivatedQuiescent57 (2.83)£51.29 (9.08)
SuspiciousReactivated10 (0.50)£118.12 (16.39)
SuspiciousSuspicious11 (0.55)£57.04 (9.10)
SuspiciousQuiescent14 (0.69)£52.96 (9.37)
QuiescentReactivated105 (5.21)£117.14 (32.61)
QuiescentSuspicious234 (11.61)£78.31 (11.53)
QuiescentQuiescent648 (32.14)£51.98 (8.23)
Experts (true)Ophthalmologists' decision
ReactivatedReactivated736 (36.51)£ 882.67 (46.41)
ReactivatedSuspicious196 (9.72)£153.18 (92.25)
ReactivatedQuiescent62 (3.08)£77.01 (45.49)
SuspiciousReactivated1 (0.05)£877.38 (N/A)
SuspiciousSuspicious17 (0.84)£68.84 (31.00)
SuspiciousQuiescent17 (0.84)£60.57 (17.16)
QuiescentReactivated35 (1.73)£882.29 (38.00)
QuiescentSuspicious146 (7.24)£150.34 (95.19)
QuiescentQuiescent806 (39.98)£75.28 (44.72)
  • *The number of observations (ie, vignettes) is 4038, namely 2016 retreatment decisions by optometrists and 2016 retreatment decisions by ophthalmologists.

  • †Pathway costs include the cost of a monitoring consultation and downstream costs (eg, injections and follow-up visits).